Css 2019

Q. No. 2: Why has SAARC been unable to replicate the success of the European Union despite geographical proximity and cultural ties among member states?

  1. Outline

    1.     Introduction

    2.     Overview of SAARC and European Union

    3.     Shared Features: Geography and Culture

    4.     Key Reasons Why SAARC Lags Behind EU

    5.     Comparative Analysis: EU vs SAARC

    6.     Impact of SAARC’s Limitations

    7.     Suggestions for Reform

    8.     Conclusion


    1. Introduction

    The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) and the European Union (EU) are two regional blocs with seemingly similar foundations: shared geography, historical ties, and cultural connectivity. However, while the EU has emerged as a powerful political and economic union, SAARC has struggled to evolve beyond a consultative forum, often criticized for its limited achievements.

    This disparity arises not from a lack of potential but from deep-rooted political, economic, and institutional challenges unique to the South Asian region.


    2. Overview of SAARC and European Union

    SAARC:

    • Established: 1985 (Dhaka Declaration)
    • Members: 8 (Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka)
    • Objectives: Promote economic growth, social progress, and regional collaboration

    European Union:

    • Origins: European Coal and Steel Community (1951), formalized as EU in 1993 (Maastricht Treaty)
    • Members: 27
    • Achievements: Common currency (Euro), single market, Schengen zone, coordinated foreign policy

    3. Shared Features: Geography and Culture

    Similarity

    SAARC

    EU

    Geographical Proximity

    Compact South Asian geography

    Western and Central Europe

    Cultural Ties

    Shared languages, religions, colonial past

    Shared Greco-Roman, Christian, Enlightenment roots

    Historical Linkages

    Ancient trade, shared colonial experience

    Roman Empire, WWII, interlinked histories

    Despite these shared features, the trajectory of integration has diverged drastically.


    4. Key Reasons Why SAARC Lags Behind EU

    A. Bilateral Conflicts—Especially India-Pakistan Rivalry

    • Long-standing hostility, especially over Kashmir, has paralyzed regional cooperation.
    • SAARC summits have been repeatedly postponed due to diplomatic tensions.
    • Political disputes often override economic agendas.

    B. Asymmetry of Power

    • India, the largest economy and population in SAARC, dominates the region, causing smaller nations to feel overshadowed.
    • Unlike the EU, where Germany and France lead via consensus, India’s dominant role has led to trust deficits.

    C. Lack of Institutional Development

    • SAARC lacks strong supranational institutions like the European Commission or European Court of Justice.
    • Decisions are based on unanimity, leading to policy paralysis.

    D. Economic Disparities and Protectionism

    • Vast gaps between economies (India vs Maldives/Nepal).
    • Countries hesitate to open borders or markets due to domestic vulnerabilities.
    • Intra-SAARC trade remains below 5% of total trade, while EU internal trade is over 60%.

    E. Absence of a Common Vision

    • EU was driven by a shared desire to prevent war, enhance prosperity, and pursue shared values like democracy and rule of law.
    • SAARC lacks a unifying ideology, often reduced to symbolic declarations without concrete follow-through.

    F. External Influences and Strategic Alignments

    • South Asian countries have diverse foreign policy orientations—some align with China, others with the US.
    • This limits cohesion and fuels regional insecurity.

    G. Terrorism and Cross-border Security Concerns

    • Issues like terrorism, smuggling, and porous borders dominate bilateral concerns.
    • Regional mistrust over counterterrorism cooperation impedes progress.

    5. Comparative Analysis: EU vs SAARC

    Feature

    European Union (EU)

    SAARC

    Conflict Resolution

    Robust institutions, consensus via negotiation

    Bilateral conflicts (especially India-Pakistan) stall cooperation

    Economic Integration

    Eurozone, free trade, labor mobility

    Low intra-regional trade, no customs union

    Institutional Strength

    European Parliament, Commission, Court of Justice

    Secretariat is weak, lacks enforcement power

    Supranationalism

    Delegated sovereignty to EU bodies

    Complete sovereignty retained by states

    Foreign Policy Coordination

    Common foreign and security policy

    No coherent external stance

    Citizen Mobility

    Schengen Zone (borderless travel)

    Visa restrictions, closed borders

    Budget and Aid Mechanisms

    Cohesion funds, common agricultural policy

    Limited joint funding mechanisms


    6. Impact of SAARC’s Limitations

    • Stalled Economic Integration: Missed potential in trade, energy, and tourism.
    • Marginal Global Influence: Weak presence in global negotiations (e.g., climate change, WTO).
    • Dependence on Extra-regional Powers: Countries turn to China, US, Gulf States instead of each other.
    • Rise of Alternative Groupings: BIMSTEC, SCO, and bilateral agreements increasingly bypass SAARC.

    7. Suggestions for Reform

    A. Resolve Bilateral Conflicts through Parallel Dialogues

    • Normalize Indo-Pak relations separately from SAARC forums.
    • Encourage Track-II diplomacy and cultural exchange.

    B. Institutional Strengthening

    • Grant more autonomy to SAARC Secretariat.
    • Develop regional courts or councils with enforcement powers.

    C. Economic Confidence Building

    • Prioritize regional projects like SAFTA, energy grids, and transnational transport.
    • Reduce tariff and non-tariff barriers to encourage trade.

    D. Promote People-to-People Contact

    • Simplify visa processes, boost academic exchange, and promote tourism.

    E. Leadership by Example

    • India should adopt a cooperative approach instead of asserting dominance.
    • Smaller nations must shed excessive dependence on external powers.

    F. Leverage Shared Culture

    • Use cultural diplomacy, literature, music, sports (e.g., SAARC games) for integration.

    8. Conclusion

    While SAARC and the EU share geographic and cultural proximity among their members, structural, political, and institutional barriers have inhibited SAARC’s development into a successful regional bloc. The persistent India-Pakistan conflict, absence of political will, and lack of shared identity have rendered the organization ineffective beyond rhetoric.

    To emulate the EU’s success, South Asian countries must prioritize collective interests over nationalistic agendas, build trust, and invest in institutional and economic integration. Only then can SAARC realize its founding vision of peace, progress, and prosperity for over a quarter of the world’s population.

    “Regional cooperation is not a luxury—it is a necessity in a globalized world.” – Amartya Sen

Q. No. 3: France's semi-presidential system combines features of both parliamentary and presidential systems. Assess its effectiveness in ensuring political stability and avoiding authoritarianism.

Outline

1.     Introduction

2.     Concept and Structure of the French Semi-Presidential System

3.     Key Features Combining Parliamentary and Presidential Models

4.     Effectiveness in Ensuring Political Stability

5.     Mechanisms that Prevent Authoritarianism

6.     Challenges and Criticisms of the System

7.     Comparative Insights with Pure Presidential and Parliamentary Models

8.     Conclusion


1. Introduction

France’s Fifth Republic, established in 1958 under Charles de Gaulle, introduced a unique semi-presidential system to address the instability of the previous parliamentary regimes. This hybrid model combines elements of both parliamentary responsibility and presidential authority, aiming to provide political stability while preventing the abuse of executive power.

This system is globally significant as a third model of governance and is often studied for its balance between efficiency and democratic safeguards.


2. Concept and Structure of the French Semi-Presidential System

Defined by Maurice Duverger, a semi-presidential system involves:

  • A directly elected president with significant powers
  • A prime minister and cabinet accountable to the legislature
  • Dual executive (President + Prime Minister)

French Case (Constitution of 1958):

  • President: Head of State, elected for 5 years (previously 7) by popular vote
  • Prime Minister: Head of Government, appointed by the President but responsible to Parliament
  • Parliament: Bicameral (National Assembly + Senate)

3. Key Features Combining Parliamentary and Presidential Models

Feature

Presidential (USA)

Parliamentary (UK)

France’s Semi-Presidential

Election of Head of State

Direct by people

Indirect (via legislature)

Direct election of President

Executive Accountability

Not accountable to legislature

Accountable to parliament

PM accountable; President is not

Cabinet Role

Advisory to President

Collective decision-making

Dual: PM runs day-to-day, President leads policy

Power Dynamics

President is dominant

PM is dominant

Depends on cohabitation or not


4. Effectiveness in Ensuring Political Stability

A. Remedy to Fourth Republic Instability

  • Under the Fourth Republic (1946–1958), over 20 governments collapsed in 12 years due to unstable coalitions.
  • The Fifth Republic’s strong presidency reversed this trend, offering decisive leadership.

B. Presidential Leadership Enhances Continuity

  • The President’s fixed term and authority over foreign policy, defense, and emergency powers ensure consistent governance.

C. Cohabitation Encourages Balance

  • When the President and the parliamentary majority are from different parties, the PM becomes the leading policymaker.
  • Cohabitation periods (e.g., Mitterrand-Chirac, Chirac-Jospin) have demonstrated power-sharing in practice.

D. Reduced Parliamentary Fragmentation

  • The two-round electoral system for the National Assembly discourages extreme fragmentation.
  • This ensures workable majorities and functional legislatures.

5. Mechanisms That Prevent Authoritarianism

A. Constitutional Checks

  • Article 49 allows the National Assembly to bring a vote of no confidence against the Prime Minister.
  • Judicial oversight via Constitutional Council and Council of State curbs executive overreach.

B. Popular Sovereignty

  • The President is elected by universal suffrage, enhancing legitimacy but also binding the office to democratic mandate.

C. Parliamentary Oversight

  • President cannot legislate unilaterally; all laws require parliamentary approval.
  • PM must answer to parliament, ensuring continuous dialogue with the legislature.

D. Role of Media and Civil Society

  • France has a vibrant press and active civil society, which continuously monitors executive actions.
  • Mass protests and judicial activism (e.g., Yellow Vests, pension reform strikes) limit authoritarian drift.

6. Challenges and Criticisms

A. Risk of Presidential Overreach

  • Critics argue that the President can dominate PM and undermine parliamentary governance, especially during unified government (no cohabitation).

B. Ambiguity in Dual Executive

  • Unclear division of responsibilities can cause friction during foreign policy decisions or emergencies.

C. Overcentralization of Power

  • French governance is still Paris-centric, raising concerns over elitism and detachment from grassroots.

D. Reduced Parliamentary Deliberation

  • Frequent use of Article 49.3 by the executive allows passage of laws without full parliamentary debate.

7. Comparative Insights

Aspect

Presidential (US)

Parliamentary (UK)

France (Semi-Presidential)

Head of Government

President

Prime Minister

President + Prime Minister (dual)

Political Stability

Stable, but polarizing

Coalition-dependent

Generally stable since 1958

Power Concentration

High in President

Moderate in PM

Balanced, varies with cohabitation

Risk of Authoritarianism

Institutional checks exist

Party control over PM

Checks exist; people elect President


8. Conclusion

The French semi-presidential system represents a middle path between rigid presidentialism and unstable parliamentarism. It has been effective in restoring political stability since the chaotic years of the Fourth Republic and has thus far avoided authoritarian backsliding through constitutional checks, elections, and civic activism.

However, it is not immune to critique—especially in situations where the President dominates the system, or when ambiguities in executive roles lead to policy conflicts.

Yet, its resilience, adaptability, and ability to reflect public sentiment through both presidential and parliamentary mechanisms make it a notable model of hybrid democratic governance.

“The genius of France’s Fifth Republic lies in its dynamic balance—where power shifts with the will of the people.” — Dominique Moïsi

Q. No. 4: Compare the leadership structures of Iran and Turkey and their impact on policy formulation.

Outline

1.     Introduction

2.     Overview of Iran’s Leadership Structure

3.     Overview of Turkey’s Leadership Structure

4.     Comparative Framework: Iran vs. Turkey

5.     Impact on Policy Formulation

6.     Challenges in Each System

7.     Key Differences in Democratic Functioning

8.     Conclusion


1. Introduction

Iran and Turkey, though geographically proximate and sharing a strong historical and cultural heritage, possess fundamentally different leadership structures. Iran is a theocratic republic with supreme clerical authority, while Turkey is a secular presidential republic—a result of its Kemalist and later Islamist-political evolution.

The contrast in their executive models, ideological foundations, and civil-military dynamics has a profound impact on how policies are formulated, implemented, and debated in their respective political landscapes.


2. Overview of Iran’s Leadership Structure

System Type: Theocratic Republic (Islamic Republic)

Key Institutions:

  • Supreme Leader (Rahbar): The most powerful figure; controls military, judiciary, media, and foreign policy.
  • President: Elected head of government; limited powers under the Supreme Leader’s shadow.
  • Guardian Council: 12-member body that vets legislation and election candidates.
  • Assembly of Experts: Elects and monitors the Supreme Leader.
  • Parliament (Majles): Unicameral, limited legislative authority.

Supreme Leader’s Role:

  • Appoints judiciary, military heads, Friday Imams
  • Controls intelligence and security
  • Final say on foreign policy, nuclear deals, and strategic matters

3. Overview of Turkey’s Leadership Structure

System Type: Presidential Republic (Post-2017)

Key Institutions:

  • President: Directly elected, serves as both head of state and head of government.
  • Grand National Assembly (Parliament): Unicameral legislative body
  • Judiciary: Independent in theory, but criticized for executive influence
  • Cabinet and Vice President: Appointed by President (post-2017 reform removed PM)

Presidential Reforms (2017 Referendum):

  • Shifted Turkey from parliamentary to executive presidency
  • Abolished Prime Minister’s office
  • Strengthened centralized power in the presidency

4. Comparative Framework: Leadership Structures

Feature

Iran

Turkey

System Type

Theocratic Republic

Presidential Republic

Head of State

Supreme Leader

President (also head of government)

Executive Power

Dual (Supreme Leader + President)

Concentrated in President

Religious Influence

High (Clergy-dominated)

Low to moderate (secular foundation, shifting under Erdoğan)

Military Oversight

Under Supreme Leader (e.g., IRGC)

Under President

Legislative Oversight

Weak (vetted by Guardian Council)

Parliament has law-making role

Election Transparency

Restricted by vetting (Guardian Council)

Competitive but increasingly criticized


5. Impact on Policy Formulation

A. Iran: Ideological Dominance and Clerical Supervision

  • Policies must align with Islamic jurisprudence (Shia doctrine).
  • Nuclear policy, foreign relations (e.g., with US, Israel), and military interventions (Syria, Iraq) are guided by the Supreme Leader and security apparatus (IRGC).
  • Economic policy shaped by sanctions, oil dependency, and quasi-military businesses (IRGC-run companies).
  • Civil policy (e.g., education, women’s rights) filtered through religious and conservative lenses.

B. Turkey: Executive Centralization and Populist Policy-making

  • Erdoğan’s presidency has allowed rapid executive decisions without legislative deadlock.
  • Policies such as currency reforms, military operations in Syria, and infrastructure megaprojects reflect personalized decision-making.
  • Judiciary reforms and media regulations often support executive narratives.
  • Education and cultural policy increasingly infused with neo-Ottomanism and Islamic conservatism, despite secular roots.

6. Challenges in Each System

Iran:

  • Policy often gridlocked between reformist president and hardline clergy
  • Lack of transparency in policymaking
  • Public dissent met with repression (e.g., 2009 Green Movement, 2022 hijab protests)
  • Foreign policy inflexible due to ideological rigidity

Turkey:

  • Democratic backsliding under Erdoğan (e.g., post-2016 coup crackdowns)
  • Marginalization of opposition
  • Weakening of judicial and legislative independence
  • Policy often driven by personalistic rule rather than institutional checks

7. Key Differences in Democratic Functioning

Dimension

Iran

Turkey

Democratic Elections

Controlled, clerically vetted candidates

Competitive but increasingly uneven

Opposition Role

Limited, often suppressed

Legal but often constrained

Policy Debate

Internal to elite circles, not public

More visible but media control limits dissent

Civic Space

Heavily regulated

Shrinking under AKP rule


8. Conclusion

Iran and Turkey reflect two contrasting models of governance in the Muslim world. Iran’s theocratic leadership structure prioritizes ideological conformity and clerical dominance, resulting in conservative, security-driven policy that limits reformist momentum. In contrast, Turkey’s presidentialism has concentrated power in the hands of one leader, allowing rapid policy shifts but raising concerns about democratic erosion.

Both systems face criticism for restricting pluralism and transparency, yet their different leadership architectures uniquely shape how policy is envisioned and implemented in areas such as foreign policy, economy, and social governance.

“Strong institutions ensure policy continuity; strong individuals only ensure policy concentration.” – Fareed Zakaria (adapted)

Q. No. 5: Federalism has been a continuing cause of political tension in our country. Will the 18th Amendment made in the constitution solve this issue once for all? Take a position and support with your arguments.

Outline

1.     Introduction

2.     Understanding Federalism in Pakistan

3.     Historical Roots of Federal Tensions

4.     Overview of the 18th Amendment

5.     Arguments Supporting the 18th Amendment as a Solution

6.     Arguments Against the Sufficiency of the 18th Amendment

7.     Balanced Position and Way Forward

8.     Conclusion


1. Introduction

Federalism, as a system of governance, seeks to distribute power between a central government and constituent units. In Pakistan, federalism has often been a source of political friction, especially due to centralization of power, ethnic imbalances, and resource inequity. The 18th Constitutional Amendment (2010) was a landmark attempt to decentralize authority and address provincial grievances.

However, while the 18th Amendment made significant strides, the question remains whether it has resolved federal tensions once and for all, or whether deeper structural reforms are still needed.


2. Understanding Federalism in Pakistan

Pakistan’s federalism is rooted in:

·         Geographical diversity (Punjab, Sindh, KP, Balochistan)

·         Ethnic pluralism (Punjabi, Sindhi, Baloch, Pashtun, etc.)

·         Economic disparities

·         Historical legacy of centralized governance since independence

Tensions arise due to:

·         Uneven distribution of power and resources

·         Perceived Punjab dominance

·         Inadequate provincial autonomy

·         Center’s intervention in provincial affairs (e.g., NFC delays, development priorities)


3. Historical Roots of Federal Tensions

Event/Phase

Nature of Federal Stress

One Unit Policy (1955–70)

Erased provincial identities; centralized control

1971 Breakup

East Pakistan’s demand for autonomy ignored, leading to secession

Military Rule Periods

Centralized governance, suspended democratic federalism

Post-2008 Democracy

Need for strong constitutional autonomy for provinces


4. Overview of the 18th Amendment (2010)

Key Highlights:

·         Omission of Concurrent Legislative List: 47 subjects devolved to provinces

·         Strengthening Council of Common Interests (CCI)

·         Provincial control over health, education, environment, labor

·         Autonomy in cultural, social, and economic planning

·         Enhanced provincial financial rights under NFC Award

“The 18th Amendment reversed the legacy of over-centralization by empowering provinces to govern themselves within the constitutional framework.” – Dr. Ishrat Husain


5. Arguments Supporting the 18th Amendment as a Solution

A. Structural Devolution of Power

·         Clearly delineates powers of the federation and provinces

·         Provinces now enjoy legislative and administrative independence in key areas

B. Strengthening Provincial Identity

·         Boosts inclusion of ethnic and regional voices in national governance

·         Reduces alienation (especially in Balochistan and Sindh)

C. Legal and Institutional Mechanisms

·         Strengthens CCI as a dispute-resolution forum

·         Empowers provinces to design policies tailored to local needs

D. Political Consensus and Ownership

·         Passed unanimously with cross-party support, lending it national legitimacy

E. Decentralization Improves Governance

·         Brings governance closer to the people, increasing accountability

·         Encourages experimentation and competition among provinces


6. Arguments Against the Sufficiency of the 18th Amendment

A. Weak Implementation Mechanism

·         Lack of capacity in provincial governments to handle devolved responsibilities

·         Federal ministries still intervene informally in provincial domains

B. Uneven Federal Control

·         Critical functions like security, foreign policy, and energy remain centralized

·         Perceived military and establishment dominance over national priorities

C. NFC Award Not Enforced Consistently

·         Federal government often delays or disputes fiscal transfers, straining center-province relations

D. Emerging Inter-Provincial Tensions

·         Smaller provinces allege Punjab-centric policies in resource and project allocations

·         Disputes over water distribution, CPEC route, and hydropower royalties

E. Resistance from Bureaucracy and Establishment

·         Institutional inertia and central bureaucracies resist complete devolution

·         Calls for rollback or review have emerged in recent years


7. Balanced Position and Way Forward

Yes, it is a necessary step — but not sufficient by itself.

While the 18th Amendment is a milestone in decentralization, it is not a panacea. True federal harmony requires:

·         Capacity-building of provincial institutions

·         Transparent inter-provincial mechanisms for resource-sharing

·         Reform of CCI and NFC to be more effective and autonomous

·         Political culture that embraces cooperative federalism

·         Judicial enforcement of constitutional limits on central encroachment


8. Conclusion

The 18th Amendment represents a critical shift towards genuine federalism in Pakistan. It has laid down the constitutional and legal foundation for provincial autonomy, reduced the legacy of centralized rule, and created a path for stronger participatory governance.

However, the amendment alone cannot solve federal tensions once and for all. Without effective implementation, inter-provincial trust, and institutional commitment to decentralization, old grievances may resurface in new forms. Pakistan must build on the spirit of the 18th Amendment by embracing pragmatic federalism, cooperation, and inclusive governance for lasting political harmony.

“Federalism is not a destination but a process — it evolves with political maturity.” — Anonymous constitutionalist

Q. No. 6: How does public opinion shape the foreign policy-making process in Pakistan? What role does the press play in influencing these decisions?

Outline

1.     Introduction

2.     Understanding Foreign Policy-Making in Pakistan

3.     Nature and Sources of Public Opinion in Pakistan

4.     Influence of Public Opinion on Foreign Policy

5.     Role of the Press and Media in Shaping Public Perception

6.     Case Studies: Public Opinion Impact on Key Foreign Policy Decisions

7.     Constraints and Limitations in Pakistan’s Foreign Policy Environment

8.     Conclusion


1. Introduction

In democratic and transitional societies, public opinion increasingly acts as a pressure mechanism in the formulation of state policies, including foreign affairs. In Pakistan, although foreign policy has traditionally been the domain of the military and elite, the rise of an active civil society, expanding media, and social media platforms has empowered public sentiment to play a more visible role.

The press, as a medium of communication and accountability, bridges the gap between policy-makers and the people, acting both as a reflection and a shaper of public opinion.


2. Understanding Foreign Policy-Making in Pakistan

Key Institutions Involved:

·         Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MoFA)

·         The Prime Minister and Cabinet

·         Military Establishment (GHQ/ISI)

·         Parliamentary Committees (limited influence)

·         National Security Committee (NSC)

Historically, Pakistan’s foreign policy has been security-centric, influenced largely by:

·         Relations with India, China, USA, and Gulf States

·         Kashmir dispute, Afghanistan crisis, and nuclear issues

·         Military alliances and economic dependencies


3. Nature and Sources of Public Opinion in Pakistan

Public opinion in Pakistan is shaped through:

·         Print and electronic media

·         Religious and political parties

·         Social media platforms (Facebook, X, YouTube)

·         Civil society activism and student unions

·         Diaspora communities and think tanks

Public opinion often reflects:

·         Nationalist sentiment (especially on India, Kashmir)

·         Religious affinity (toward Palestine, Muslim world)

·         Anti-Western and anti-imperialist feelings (esp. on US drone strikes, IMF deals)

·         Economic pragmatism (China, CPEC support)


4. Influence of Public Opinion on Foreign Policy

A. Pressure on Democratic Leaders

·         Politicians seek electoral support and therefore echo public sentiment on foreign affairs.

·         Example: Strong public support for Palestine has pushed successive governments to adopt pro-Palestinian stances at international forums.

B. Impact on Parliamentary Debates

·         Resolutions passed in National Assembly and Senate on Kashmir, Gaza, or Islamophobia often emerge from public pressure.

C. Civil Mobilization Can Alter Diplomatic Engagement

·         Public protests against blasphemous cartoons in Europe or US drone strikes have led to temporary diplomatic boycotts or summoning of ambassadors.

D. Foreign Policy as a Political Tool

·         Parties in opposition often capitalize on public opinion to criticize ruling government’s foreign alignments (e.g., PTI vs. PML-N stances on US/China tilt).


5. Role of the Press and Media in Shaping Public Opinion

A. Agenda Setting

·         Media determines which foreign policy issues receive attention, influencing how the public prioritizes them (e.g., Kashmir, Israel-Palestine).

B. Framing the Narrative

·         Language and tone (e.g., “Zionist aggression”, “Indian atrocities”) affect how people emotionally perceive events.

C. Watchdog Role

·         Investigative journalism (e.g., leaks about military bases, secret US-Pakistan deals) exposes hidden aspects of foreign policy-making.

D. Influencing Decision-Makers

·         Policymakers monitor editorials, talk shows, and social media to gauge the national mood before taking decisions.

E. Digital Media as Game Changer

·         Platforms like YouTube and X (Twitter) have allowed alternate foreign policy perspectives and youth-led campaigns to go viral (e.g., anti-French boycott trends).


6. Case Studies: Impact of Public Opinion

Event

Public Opinion Role

Impact on Policy

Kargil War (1999)

Mixed; initially unaware, later critical

Strengthened demand for civilian control

Drone Attacks in FATA

Massive anti-US sentiment

Forced government to publicly condemn while covertly cooperating

Israel-Palestine Conflicts

Religious and emotional outrage

Pakistan maintains firm non-recognition of Israel

US Withdrawal from Afghanistan (2021)

Mixed views on Taliban rise

Pakistan adopted cautious diplomacy to balance regional ties

Saudi-Iran Rift

Sectarian undertones in media

Pakistan adopted neutral stance due to internal pressure


7. Constraints and Limitations in Foreign Policy Democratization

A. Dominance of Establishment

·         Military retains control over India, China, US, nuclear, and Afghan policies

·         Civilians and media often only influence symbolic or reactive policies

B. Censorship and Media Regulation

·         Foreign policy coverage is sometimes state-directed, limiting critical discourse

·         PECA laws and media bans curb free expression on foreign relations

C. Ill-informed Public

·         Lack of education and strategic literacy limits informed engagement in foreign policy matters

D. Economic Dependencies

·         Strategic partners like China, IMF, and Gulf states limit Pakistan’s freedom to align with public pressure


8. Conclusion

While Pakistan’s foreign policy remains elite-dominated, the voice of the people—amplified through a dynamic press—cannot be ignored. Increasingly, public opinion acts as a soft force, shaping the tone, priorities, and symbolic decisions in external relations. The press plays a pivotal role as both mirror and moulder of these opinions.

To make foreign policy more democratic and responsive:

·         Media freedom and literacy must be expanded

·         Parliamentary oversight must be institutionalized

·         Public engagement in foreign affairs should be encouraged through think tanks, student forums, and civil debates

“Foreign policy may originate in the corridors of power, but its legitimacy is rooted in the hearts of the people.” – Henry Kissinger (adapted)

Q. No. 7: Compare the political and constitutional crises faced by Pakistan between 1947–1956 and the post-2008 era. How do they reflect structural weaknesses in governance?

Outline

1.     Introduction

2.     Political and Constitutional Crises (1947–1956)

3.     Political and Constitutional Crises (Post-2008 Era)

4.     Comparative Table: Key Features of Both Periods

5.     Reflection of Structural Weaknesses in Governance

6.     Institutional Response and Public Trust

7.     Lessons and the Way Forward

8.     Conclusion


1. Introduction

Since its inception, Pakistan has faced recurrent political and constitutional instability. These crises—whether in the early post-independence period (1947–1956) or the democratic restoration after military rule (post-2008)—are not isolated events, but rather symptoms of deep structural flaws in governance, institutional imbalance, and elite-centric politics.

This answer provides a comparative analysis of these two periods, exploring their roots, manifestations, and implications for Pakistan’s state-building process.


2. Political and Constitutional Crises (1947–1956)

A. Lack of Constitution

·         Pakistan functioned without a permanent constitution for 9 years.

·         Governed under the Government of India Act 1935 (with adaptations).

B. Frequent Leadership Changes

·         7 prime ministers between 1947–1956 (e.g., Liaquat Ali Khan, Nazimuddin, Bogra).

·         Political instability due to bureaucratic dominance and Governor General’s discretion.

C. Delay in Constitution-Making

·         Multiple drafts (Basic Principles Committees, 1950 & 1952) rejected.

·         Religious–secular divide, provincial autonomy, and language issues caused delays.

D. Centralization vs. Provincial Autonomy

·         Unequal treatment of East Pakistan (e.g., Urdu-Bengali language crisis).

·         Failure to accommodate provincial aspirations led to political polarization.

E. Judiciary’s Controversial Role

·         Maulvi Tamizuddin Case (1954): Validated the Governor General’s dismissal of the Constituent Assembly, setting precedent for executive supremacy.


3. Political and Constitutional Crises (Post-2008 Era)

A. Civil–Military Tensions

·         Although elected governments returned post-Musharraf, military influence on foreign, security, and economic policies remained dominant.

B. Judicial Activism and Politicization

·         Judiciary emerged as a powerful actor (e.g., disqualification of PMs, suo motu notices).

·         Undermined parliamentary sovereignty and blurred institutional separation.

C. Constitutional Amendments

·         18th Amendment (2010) devolved power but created friction over resource distribution and CCI enforcement.

·         Controversies over presidential powers, judicial appointments, and federalism.

D. Political Polarization

·         Deep PTI–PML-N–PPP rivalry.

·         ECP controversies, protests, and distrust in electoral process (e.g., 2013 rigging claims, 2018 RTS controversy).

E. Governance Crisis and Institutional Breakdown

·         Poor service delivery, weak local government systems, and incoherence in public policy.

·         Rise of populist, personality-based politics, undermining institutional credibility.


4. Comparative Table: Key Features of Both Periods

Dimension

1947–1956

Post-2008 Era

Constitutional Order

Absent until 1956

Present (1973 Constitution restored, amended)

Political Stability

Highly unstable, short-lived governments

Periodic instability despite regular elections

Civil-Military Relations

Civilian institutions overrun by Governor-General

Military retains influence behind democratic façade

Judicial Role

Subordinate, legitimized executive decisions

Assertive, sometimes overreaching (judicialization of politics)

Federalism

Unitary tilt; marginalization of East Pakistan

Federal in law but tensions over NFC and provincial rights

Governance Quality

Nascent bureaucracy-centric governance

Bureaucratic inertia, weak institutional coordination


5. Reflection of Structural Weaknesses in Governance

A. Weak Political Institutions

·         Both eras reveal absence of strong parliamentary oversight and internal party democracy.

·         Political instability often led to extra-constitutional interventions or executive overreach.

B. Judicial Ambiguity

·         In 1947–1956, judiciary empowered the executive (e.g., Tamizuddin case).

·         Post-2008, judiciary’s hyper-activism destabilized political equilibrium (e.g., PM Nawaz Sharif’s disqualification in 2017).

C. Over-Centralization

·         Both periods show resistance to meaningful devolution.

·         In early years, One Unit policy harmed provincial identities; post-2008, reluctance in implementing local government systems and CCI decisions weakens federalism.

D. Civil-Military Imbalance

·         Recurrent theme: military’s preeminence in national policy, undermining elected civilian mandates.

E. Crisis of Accountability and Transparency

·         Rampant corruption, nepotism, and lack of institutional checks continue to hinder trust in governance mechanisms.


6. Institutional Response and Public Trust

·         Public faith in democratic processes was compromised in both periods due to elite manipulation and non-transparent decision-making.

·         Civil society, media, and judiciary have played corrective roles post-2008, but still face censorship and coercion.

·         Electoral reforms, judicial restraint, and bureaucratic restructuring remain necessary to build long-term resilience.


7. Lessons and the Way Forward

To overcome structural weaknesses, Pakistan must:

·         Reinforce parliamentary supremacy with clear separation of powers

·         Institutionalize intra-party democracy to avoid personality-based politics

·         Ensure judicial neutrality and limit judicial overreach

·         Strengthen federalism by empowering local governments and respecting provincial mandates

·         Depoliticize bureaucracy and enforce accountability mechanisms through independent institutions


8. Conclusion

The periods 1947–1956 and post-2008 are separated by time but united by structural weaknesses—an overcentralized executive, politicized judiciary, weak institutions, and recurring military influence. These recurring crises reveal that Pakistan’s governance problems are institutional and systemic, not merely episodic or leader-centric.

Unless deep political, constitutional, and administrative reforms are institutionalized, Pakistan will continue to oscillate between constitutionalism and crisis. The real test lies not just in enacting democratic norms but in practicing them consistently.

“Strong institutions make strong democracies; strong personalities without institutions breed recurring crises.” — Adapted from Fareed Zakaria

Q. No. 8: What are the limitations of international financial regimes like the IMF and WTO in addressing economic inequalities in developing countries? How do these institutions face challenges in overcoming these disparities?

1. Introduction

Global institutions like the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Trade Organization (WTO) were established to promote economic stability, trade liberalization, and development. However, despite decades of engagement, economic inequality between developed and developing nations has persisted or even widened.

This paradox calls into question the efficacy and fairness of these international regimes, especially in their role in shaping economic futures of the Global South.


2. Overview of IMF and WTO

IMF (International Monetary Fund)

·         Founded in 1944 to maintain global financial stability, prevent currency crises, and offer balance-of-payment support.

·         Instruments: Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPs), Extended Fund Facility, Stand-by Arrangements

WTO (World Trade Organization)

·         Established in 1995 to promote free and fair international trade.

·         Aims to ensure non-discrimination, transparency, and reduction in trade barriers.

Despite noble goals, developing countries remain marginalized, facing asymmetric benefits, sovereignty erosion, and persistent poverty.


3. Core Objectives vs. Ground Realities

Institution

Stated Purpose

Reality for Developing Countries

IMF

Promote macroeconomic stability and development

Imposes austerity, cuts in social spending, and devalues currencies

WTO

Create a level playing field in global trade

Favors industrialized nations in negotiations and subsidies


4. Limitations in Addressing Economic Inequality

A. One-Size-Fits-All Policies (IMF)

·         SAPs promote privatization, deregulation, and austerity, which often hurt the poor and vulnerable.

·         Healthcare, education, and food subsidies are often slashed under IMF conditionalities.

“The IMF is more concerned with numbers than people.” – Joseph Stiglitz

B. Undemocratic Decision-Making Structures

·         IMF voting power is quota-based, giving more influence to the Global North (e.g., USA holds ~17% votes).

·         WTO negotiations (e.g., Doha Round) have often ignored developing countries’ concerns.

C. Trade Liberalization Hurts Local Industries (WTO)

·         Removal of protective tariffs exposes infant industries to unfair competition.

·         Developed nations maintain agricultural subsidies, distorting global prices.

D. Sovereignty Loss

·         IMF programs limit policy autonomy of borrower nations.

·         Countries often lose control over fiscal policy, exchange rates, and subsidies.

E. Short-Term Crisis Management, Not Structural Change

·         IMF focuses on balance-of-payments fixes, not long-term poverty alleviation or employment.

·         WTO’s trade liberalization rarely translates into inclusive development.


5. Challenges These Institutions Face in Overcoming Disparities

A. Internal Institutional Resistance to Reform

·         Dominated by rich countries resistant to redistributing power or revising rules.

B. Conflict Between Development and Liberalization

·         Economic growth goals of developing countries often clash with free-market expectations of IMF/WTO.

C. Weak State Capacity in Poor Countries

·         Even when reforms are introduced, governance gaps, corruption, and weak institutions hinder implementation.

D. Rising Global Protectionism

·         Rich countries now impose non-tariff barriers (e.g., environmental, labor standards) that disadvantage exports from the Global South.


6. Case Studies

Pakistan and the IMF

·         Pakistan has signed over 20 IMF programs since 1958.

·         Conditionalities have included removal of energy subsidies, tax reforms, and currency devaluation.

·         Result: inflation, public unrest, and increased debt without long-term self-reliance.

Ghana

·         SAPs in the 1980s led to currency devaluation and privatization.

·         Real GDP rose, but poverty and inequality increased, especially in rural areas.

Argentina

·         IMF-backed austerity in 2000s worsened unemployment and triggered a national default.

·         IMF later admitted design flaws in its prescriptions.


7. Global North–South Divide and Power Asymmetry

·         Developed nations write the rules—from trade to finance—ensuring their strategic and commercial dominance.

·         Developing nations have limited bargaining power in negotiations, often forced to accept “take-it-or-leave-it” deals.

Aspect

Global North

Global South

IMF Voting Power

High

Low

Subsidies

Maintained (e.g., EU/US agriculture)

Discouraged

Market Access

Open to capital, not labor

Dependent on commodity exports

Policy Autonomy

Strong

Weak (under loan conditions)


8. Suggestions and Alternatives for Reform

A. Reform Voting Rights and Representation

·         Shift IMF quotas toward emerging economies.

·         Include African, South Asian, and Latin American voices in WTO agenda-setting.

B. Focus on Inclusive Growth

·         IMF should promote social safety nets instead of austerity.

·         WTO should allow developmental protectionism for infant industries.

C. Promote South–South Cooperation

·         Strengthen platforms like BRICS Bank, AIIB, and regional trade blocs (e.g., AfCFTA, ECO).

D. Enhance Transparency and Civil Society Role

·         Ensure parliamentary oversight, public engagement, and policy ownership of loan programs.

E. Link Lending with SDGs

·         IMF and WTO policies should be aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), not just macroeconomic stability.


9. Conclusion

International financial regimes like the IMF and WTO, despite their stated missions, have often exacerbated inequalities in developing countries due to structural biases, limited inclusiveness, and rigid prescriptions. Their inability to account for domestic realities, combined with the imbalance of global power, has made equitable development elusive.

If these institutions are to truly serve global development, they must democratize their decision-making, redefine their priorities, and center human well-being over financial orthodoxy.

“Globalization without justice is merely imperialism in disguise.” — Anonymous

 

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