Css 2019

Q. No. 2: How does the definition and scope of International Relations evolve in light of the ongoing war situations in Ukraine and Palestine? What insights do these conflicts offer into the complexities of global diplomatic, political, and socio-economic interactions?

Outline

  1. Introduction
  2. Evolution of International Relations (IR): From Traditional to Complex Interdependence
  3. Ukraine and Palestine: Redefining the Scope of IR
  4. Insights into Global Diplomatic Complexity
  5. Political Dimensions and Great Power Politics
  6. Socio-Economic Impacts and Humanitarian Dimensions
  7. Theoretical Reassessment of IR in Light of These Conflicts
  8. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

International Relations (IR), once limited to state-centric, military, and diplomatic concerns, is rapidly evolving in scope. The Russia–Ukraine war (2022–present) and Israel–Palestine conflict (ongoing) have not only intensified global instability but have reshaped how IR is defined, practiced, and theorized. These conflicts reveal IR as a dynamic, multifaceted discipline, entangled in ethics, technology, media, public opinion, and asymmetric warfare.

“War is not only the continuation of politics—it is now an intersection of economy, diplomacy, identity, and media.” — Joseph Nye

  1. Evolution of International Relations (IR): From Traditional to Complex Interdependence

Era

IR Focus

Characteristics

Classical (1919–45)

State sovereignty, war and peace

Realist, Eurocentric, diplomacy-driven

Cold War (1945–91)

Bipolarity, alliances, deterrence

Ideological blocs, nuclear politics

Post-Cold War

Globalization, institutions

Rise of liberalism, cooperation

Post-9/11

Terrorism, non-state actors

Security redefined, asymmetric threats

Post-Ukraine/Palestine

Multipolar disorder, ethical IR

Sanctions, soft power, mass suffering

The wars in Ukraine and Palestine show that IR is no longer a discipline of stability, but one of crisis management, narrative control, and contested legitimacy.

  1. Ukraine and Palestine: Redefining the Scope of IR

Ukraine Crisis:

  • Open invasion by Russia in 2022 marked a return to territorial warfare in Europe.
  • Brought into focus: sovereignty, NATO dynamics, energy diplomacy, and military alliances.
  • Triggered global sanctions, proxy diplomacy, and economic warfare.

Palestine Conflict:

  • Ongoing asymmetrical war, intensified since October 7, 2023.
  • Raised questions of human rights, occupation, international humanitarian law, and selective diplomacy.
  • Exposed global double standards, with non-state resistance (e.g., Hamas) challenging traditional power hierarchies.
  1. Insights into Global Diplomatic Complexity
  • Shifting Alliances: Turkey, China, India, and Gulf countries adopt strategic neutrality or issue-based alignment.
  • Normative Dissonance: Western condemnation of Ukraine war vs. muted or biased response to Palestinian plight.
  • UN Paralysis: Veto politics at the Security Council limits diplomatic resolution (e.g., US vetoes on Gaza ceasefires).
  • Regionalization of Diplomacy: Actors like Qatar, Turkey, Iran, and Egypt mediate localized peacemaking.

“The global order is no longer liberal; it is fragmented, multipolar, and transactional.” — Richard Haass

  1. Political Dimensions and Great Power Politics
  • Ukraine War as a proxy conflict: NATO vs. Russia; rise of Eastern assertiveness.
  • Palestinian conflict as a test of Western liberal hypocrisy, exposing selective justice in IR.
  • Reinvigorated arms races: Drones, hypersonic missiles, and space militarization.
  • Rise of “weaponized interdependence”: e.g., energy blackmail, food supply shocks.

“We are witnessing the return of hard power in a soft power-dominated global economy.” — Fareed Zakaria

  1. Socio-Economic Impacts and Humanitarian Dimensions

Conflict

Economic Effects

Humanitarian Crisis

Ukraine

Global energy + food crisis

8+ million refugees in Europe

Palestine

Infrastructure collapse, siege

30,000+ civilian deaths (as of mid-2024), massive displacement

  • Humanitarian IR becomes central: refugee flows, international aid, and NGO diplomacy.
  • Media as a weapon: Narratives, misinformation, and psychological warfare on both fronts.
  1. Theoretical Reassessment of IR in Light of These Conflicts

Theory

Application to Ukraine/Palestine

Realism

Power politics, military invasion, deterrence logic (Ukraine, Israel)

Liberalism

Failure of institutions (UN, ICJ) to ensure peace

Constructivism

Competing identities: Russian Eurasianism vs. Ukrainian nationalism; Zionism vs. Palestinian identity

Critical Theory

Examines imperialism, settler colonialism, and structural violence (especially in Palestine)

Post-colonial IR

Decolonial struggles and resistance against occupation and historical injustice

“Both conflicts reveal that power still trumps principle in international politics.” — Noam Chomsky

  1. Conclusion

The Ukraine and Palestine conflicts redefine International Relations as a discipline of disruption and ethical complexity. They blur lines between war and peace, state and non-state, legality and legitimacy. These crises challenge the efficacy of existing global structures and call for a more pluralist, inclusive, and morally conscious approach to IR.

“In a just world, the laws of war would not be selective, and neither would the compassion of states.” — UN Human Rights Council Report, 2024

Q. No. 3: How do the thoughts of Woodrow Wilson, Norman Angell, and Alfred Zimmern contribute to the development of Liberal Internationalism? Analyze and discuss various aspects of Liberal Internationalism, considering the perspectives of these thinkers and examining their respective beliefs on global governance, peace, and cooperation.

Outline

  1. Introduction
  2. Liberal Internationalism: Meaning and Historical Context
  3. Contributions of Key Thinkers
    • I. Woodrow Wilson
    • II. Norman Angell
    • III. Alfred Zimmern
  4. Core Aspects of Liberal Internationalism
    • I. International Organizations and Rule-Based Order
    • II. Peace Through Interdependence and Democracy
    • III. Moral Diplomacy and Ethical State Conduct
    • IV. Intellectual and Cultural Cooperation
  5. Critical Assessment and Legacy
  6. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

Liberal Internationalism emerged in the early 20th century as a school of thought that advocated for peace through international cooperation, democratic values, legal institutions, and economic interdependence. It gained prominence in the post-WWI period as an idealistic reaction to the horrors of war. Thinkers like Woodrow Wilson, Norman Angell, and Alfred Zimmern played a crucial role in shaping this doctrine, laying the intellectual foundations for institutions like the League of Nations and later the United Nations.

“The world must be made safe for democracy.” – Woodrow Wilson (1917)

  1. Liberal Internationalism: Meaning and Historical Context
  • Liberal internationalism posits that states can cooperate in a rule-based global system to achieve peace and prosperity.
  • It rejects the Realist notion of inevitable conflict and sees international institutions, democracy, and trade as tools to tame anarchy.
  • Emerged after World War I, during a period of optimism about progress and global order.
  1. Contributions of Key Thinkers
  2. Woodrow Wilson (1856–1924)
  • President of the United States (1913–1921); architect of Liberal Idealism in world politics.
  • Advocated for collective security, open diplomacy, and national self-determination.
  • Introduced the Fourteen Points (1918), which became the blueprint for the League of Nations.

“Only a peace between equals can last.” – Wilson’s Fourteen Points

Key Ideas:

  • War is preventable through international cooperation.
  • States must submit to international law and arbitration.
  • Moral diplomacy: Foreign policy should be rooted in ethics, not power politics.
  1. Norman Angell (1872–1967)
  • British author and Nobel Peace Prize laureate (1933); wrote The Great Illusion (1910).
  • Argued that war is economically irrational and obsolete in an interdependent world.

“The illusion is that war brings gain; the reality is that it brings ruin.” – Norman Angell

Key Ideas:

  • Modern economies are too interconnected for war to be profitable.
  • Emphasized rational economic reasoning and education as tools of peace.
  • Pioneered the idea that capitalist peace and shared prosperity reduce conflict incentives.

III. Alfred Zimmern (1879–1957)

  • British historian and first professor of International Relations at Aberystwyth (1919).
  • Intellectual architect of the League of Nations.
  • Stressed the role of cultural diplomacy, education, and moral internationalism.

“The League must be more than a covenant; it must be a community.” – Alfred Zimmern

Key Ideas:

  • Peace is not just legal or political—but moral and educational.
  • International institutions must be permanent platforms for dialogue.
  • Promoted intellectual cooperation (later seen in UNESCO and global education).
  1. Core Aspects of Liberal Internationalism

Aspect

Explanation

Influencing Thinker

Rule-Based Global Order

Peace via international law, treaties, and arbitration

Wilson, Zimmern

Democracy Promotion

Democracies less likely to fight each other (Democratic Peace Theory)

Wilson

Economic Interdependence

War becomes irrational in a globalized economy

Norman Angell

Collective Security

States protect each other through joint action against aggression

Wilson

Education & Intellectual Exchange

Peace as a result of cultural understanding and dialogue

Zimmern

Moral Diplomacy

Ethical foreign policy based on shared values

All three thinkers

  1. Critical Assessment and Legacy

Strengths:

  • Shaped major global institutions: League of Nations, UN, WTO, EU.
  • Influenced post-WWII liberal order and American foreign policy.
  • Inspired developmental diplomacy, peacebuilding, and global human rights norms.

Criticism:

  • Naïveté: Ignored the persistence of power politics (exposed by WWII).
  • Failed to prevent aggression by revisionist powers (e.g., Nazi Germany).
  • Critics like E.H. Carr in The Twenty Years’ Crisis (1939) dismissed it as utopian idealism.

“Idealism ignores the reality of power in international relations.” – E.H. Carr

Modern Revival:

  • After Cold War, Liberal Internationalism regained influence via:
    • UN peacekeeping
    • Democracy promotion
    • International Criminal Court (ICC)
  1. Conclusion

The contributions of Woodrow Wilson, Norman Angell, and Alfred Zimmern laid the intellectual and moral foundations of Liberal Internationalism. Their vision of a world governed by law, cooperation, education, and ethics continues to shape international institutions, diplomacy, and global governance today. While challenged by realism and populist nationalism in recent decades, their ideas offer enduring relevance in promoting peace through integration, not isolation.

“Liberal internationalism is not an illusion—it is an aspiration for a better, rule-based world.” – Joseph Nye

Q. No. 4: Is the financial support provided by the IMF truly a “debt trap,” as some argue, or does it serve as a supportive mechanism for the economic recovery of impoverished nations? Through a comprehensive analysis, evaluate the impacts of IMF assistance on the financial health of recipient countries, considering both the criticisms and the supportive stance. Conclude with a bold and clear position on the role of IMF in economic recovery of poor nations

Outline:

  1. Introduction
  2. The IMF: Mandate and Mechanism
  3. Arguments Supporting the IMF as a Recovery Tool
  4. Criticism: IMF as a Debt Trap
  5. Empirical Case Studies
    • I. Pakistan
    • II. Argentina
    • III. Ghana
  6. Structural Features Behind Mixed Outcomes
  7. Theoretical Perspectives: Neoliberalism vs. Dependency
  8. Conclusion: Bold Position on the IMF’s Role
  1. Introduction

The International Monetary Fund (IMF), established in 1944 under the Bretton Woods System, claims to support member nations facing balance-of-payment crises through financial aid, macroeconomic policy advice, and technical assistance. However, its role remains controversial: some view it as a lifeline for struggling economies, while others criticize it as a modern debt trap that perpetuates poverty, austerity, and foreign dependency.

“The IMF is both a doctor and a disciplinarian—but whose health is it really healing?” — Ha-Joon Chang

  1. The IMF: Mandate and Mechanism
  • Offers Short-to-medium-term loans to countries facing external payment imbalances.
  • Loans are disbursed through Extended Fund Facility (EFF), Stand-By Arrangements (SBA), etc.
  • Conditions imposed: Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPs), often including:
    • Fiscal austerity
    • Currency devaluation
    • Deregulation and privatization
    • Trade liberalization

These programs are rooted in neoliberal economic theory, which assumes that market efficiency and state downsizing drive growth.

  1. Arguments Supporting the IMF as a Recovery Tool
  2. Emergency Support & Crisis Prevention
  • Acts as a lender of last resort for poor countries facing debt default or forex shortages.
  • Provides quick financing and credibility to prevent market panic.
  1. Structural Reform Catalyst
  • Promotes governance reforms, fiscal discipline, and anti-corruption measures.
  • In countries like Ghana (2000s), IMF-supported reforms helped stabilize inflation and restore growth.

III. Investor Confidence

  • IMF presence improves credit ratings, attracts FDI, and signals fiscal commitment.
  • Enables countries to access other multilateral and bilateral funding.
  1. Technical Assistance
  • Offers capacity-building support in public finance, banking, and taxation systems.
  • Especially useful for least developed countries (LDCs) with weak institutions.

“For countries in distress, the IMF can be a bridge to stability.” – Kristalina Georgieva, IMF Managing Director

  1. Criticism: IMF as a Debt Trap
  2. Harsh Austerity Measures
  • IMF loans often demand cutbacks in public spending, including on health, education, and subsidies.
  • Results in social unrest, inequality, and long-term developmental harm.
  1. Sovereignty and External Control
  • Governments lose policy autonomy, as key decisions are often dictated by IMF conditionalities.
  • Undermines democratic accountability.

“IMF conditionality often resembles colonial governance.” – Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Laureate Economist

III. Debt Spiral and Repeat Borrowing

  • Many countries (e.g., Pakistan, Argentina) enter multiple IMF programs, leading to chronic debt dependency.
  • Focus on short-term stabilization, not long-term structural transformation.
  1. One-Size-Fits-All Approach
  • Standardized neoliberal prescriptions ignore local contexts, culture, and political economy.
  • Criticized by dependency theorists as a tool of Global North hegemony.
  1. Empirical Case Studies

Country

IMF Involvement

Impact Summary

Pakistan

23 IMF programs since 1958

Chronic debt; repeated bailouts; socio-economic unrest due to austerity

Argentina

$57 billion bailout (2018)

High inflation, recession, loan restructuring in 2022

Ghana

IMF reforms in 1983, 2003, 2022

Initial stabilization but recurring dependency; poverty reduction mixed

  1. Structural Features Behind Mixed Outcomes
  • Governance Quality: Success depends on internal political stability and institutional strength.
  • Loan Utilization: Productive vs. consumptive spending determines success.
  • IMF Flexibility: Increasing but still limited scope for context-sensitive programs.
  • Donor Coordination: Failure to align IMF support with development partners hampers results.
  1. Theoretical Perspectives

Theory

Interpretation of IMF Role

Neoliberalism

IMF promotes market efficiency, fiscal discipline, and reforms.

Dependency Theory

IMF reinforces global inequality, enabling core states to dominate periphery nations.

Constructivism

IMF legitimacy and role vary based on global norms, ideas, and evolving cooperation ethics.

“The IMF needs to evolve from an accountant of austerity to an architect of sustainable development.” – Amartya Sen

  1. Conclusion: Bold Position on the IMF’s Role

While the IMF has played a crucial role in stabilizing short-term macroeconomic crises, its overreliance on austerity, lack of contextual adaptability, and repeated entanglement in debt dependency cycles raise legitimate concerns of a neo-debt trap. However, the IMF is not inherently predatory; rather, its efficacy depends on how its programs are designed, implemented, and localized.

Bold Conclusion:
The IMF is a double-edged sword—when used prudently with reform ownership and social safeguards, it can assist recovery. But when misused or externally imposed, it risks entrenching poverty and dependency. A reformed IMF, rooted in equity, flexibility, and developmental justice, is essential for the economic sovereignty of poor nations.

Visual Aid: IMF Impact Balance Sheet

Positive Impacts

Negative Impacts

Emergency financial support

Fiscal austerity and public hardship

Policy credibility

Sovereignty erosion

Technical assistance

Social service cutbacks

Anti-corruption and reform

Debt accumulation and loan fatigue

Q. No. 5: How do you define Climate Change and Global Warming? What concrete evidence supports the assertion that the climate is undergoing change? Analyze the scientific discourse surrounding human-induced climate change, exploring the role of human activities in this phenomenon. Provide thoughtful suggestions for securing the climate on planet Earth, considering both individual and collective actions.

Outline

  1. Introduction
  2. Definitions: Climate Change vs. Global Warming
  3. Scientific Evidence of a Changing Climate
  4. Human-Induced Climate Change: Causes and Mechanisms
  5. Scientific Discourse and Consensus
  6. Strategies to Secure the Climate: Individual & Collective Action
  7. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

Climate change is one of the most pressing challenges of the 21st century, affecting ecosystems, economies, and human security. What was once a distant environmental issue is now a lived global reality, manifesting in rising sea levels, intensified weather events, and record-breaking temperatures. Understanding its scientific basis and human causation is critical for crafting effective mitigation strategies.

  1. Definitions: Climate Change vs. Global Warming

Term

Definition

Climate Change

Long-term alterations in temperature, precipitation, wind patterns, and other elements of Earth’s climate system.

Global Warming

The increase in Earth’s average surface temperature due primarily to greenhouse gas emissions.

“Climate change is not a distant threat—it is happening now.” — IPCC (2023)

  1. Scientific Evidence of a Changing Climate
  2. Temperature Records
  • Global average temperature has increased by ~1.1°C since pre-industrial levels (1880).
  • The last 9 years (2015–2023) have been the warmest on record.
  1. Melting Ice and Sea-Level Rise
  • Arctic sea ice has decreased by over 40% since 1979.
  • Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are losing hundreds of gigatons of ice annually.
  • Sea levels have risen 8–9 inches since 1880.

III. Extreme Weather Events

  • Intensified heatwaves, hurricanes, floods, and droughts are increasingly frequent.
  • The 2022 Pakistan floods displaced 33 million people—exacerbated by warmer atmosphere holding more moisture.
  1. Ocean Acidification and Biodiversity Loss
  • Oceans absorb 30% of CO₂ emissions, increasing acidity.
  • Coral bleaching and species extinction are accelerating.

“The evidence is unequivocal: climate change is a threat to human well-being.” — IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (2022)

  1. Human-Induced Climate Change: Causes and Mechanisms
  2. Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Gas

Source

Contribution

CO₂

Fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas)

~76%

CH₄ (methane)

Livestock, landfills, rice paddies

~16%

N₂O

Fertilizers, industrial activity

~6%

  1. Land Use Change
  • Deforestation reduces carbon sinks.
  • Urbanization increases heat retention (urban heat island effect).

III. Industrialization & Consumption

  • Overdependence on fossil fuels, global shipping, aviation, and consumerism accelerate emissions.
  1. Feedback Loops
  • Melting permafrost releases trapped methane.
  • Deforestation causes regional rainfall shifts.
  1. Scientific Discourse and Consensus
  • Over 97% of climate scientists agree that climate change is anthropogenic (human-caused).
  • Key institutions endorsing this consensus:
    • IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)
    • NASA, NOAA, WMO
    • Royal Society, National Academies of Science

“Climate change is not a belief. It is science.” — John Kerry

Skeptic Views and Responses

  • Skeptics claim natural cycles cause warming.
  • However, models excluding human activity fail to match observed warming, while those including emissions do.
  1. Strategies to Secure the Climate: Individual and Collective Actions
  2. Individual Actions

Action

Impact

Reduce meat consumption

Lowers methane emissions (livestock)

Use public transport / EVs

Cuts fossil fuel usage

Energy-efficient appliances

Reduces household CO₂ footprint

Reforestation and tree planting

Enhances carbon sequestration

Conscious consumerism

Reduces waste and carbon-intensive products

“Every action counts—even the smallest behavioral shift.” — Greta Thunberg

  1. Collective and Institutional Actions
  1. National Climate Policy:
    • Carbon pricing and taxation
    • Renewable energy investments
    • Climate-smart agriculture
  2. Global Cooperation:
    • Paris Agreement (2015): Keep warming below 2°C
    • COP summits: Coordinate international commitments
  3. Technology and Innovation:
    • Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS)
    • Green hydrogen and battery storage
    • Smart grids and AI for climate modeling
  4. Climate Justice:
    • Support for climate-vulnerable countries (e.g., loss and damage fund)
    • Gender-inclusive and indigenous-led climate solutions
  1. Conclusion

Climate change and global warming are scientifically validated, human-driven phenomena that demand urgent and coordinated action. The consequences are no longer abstract—they are visible in rising seas, collapsing ecosystems, and mass displacements. Mitigating this crisis requires a dual approach: informed individual responsibility and robust global governance. Only through sustainable lifestyles, equitable development, and technological innovation can we secure the climate for future generations.

“We do not inherit the Earth from our ancestors—we borrow it from our children.” — Native American Proverb

Q. No. 6: How have the dynamics of Pakistan-Iran relations transformed in the aftermath of targeting terrorist hideouts in each other’s territories? What are the potential future implications based on the Realist School of Thought? Analyze the shifts in the relationship, considering geopolitical factors, national interest, and power dynamics, and evaluate the potential consequences according to realist principles.

Outline:

  1. Introduction
  2. Background: Cross-Border Strikes in 2024
  3. Transformation in Pakistan–Iran Relations Post-Clashes
  4. Realist Perspective: Principles and Interpretation
  5. Geopolitical and Strategic Factors Shaping Relations
    • I. Border Security and Sovereignty
    • II. Sectarian Balances and Proxy Networks
    • III. Regional Rivalries and Power Balancing
    • IV. Economic and Energy Interests
  6. Future Scenarios and Realist Implications
  7. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

Pakistan and Iran—two important neighbors sharing a 900-km-long porous border—have historically maintained cautious but cooperative relations, shaped by mutual interests and underlying tensions. However, the 2024 tit-for-tat strikes on alleged terrorist hideouts in each other’s territory marked a significant rupture, challenging traditional norms of diplomatic engagement. These developments necessitate an evaluation through the Realist lens, which emphasizes national interest, power, and survival over ideology or morality.

“There are no permanent friends or enemies in international relations—only permanent interests.” — Lord Palmerston (Realist maxim)

  1. Background: Cross-Border Strikes in 2024
  • In January 2024, Iran launched strikes in Balochistan, targeting bases of Jaish al-Adl, a Sunni militant group accused of attacks inside Iran.
  • In retaliation, Pakistan struck militant camps inside Iran, reportedly of Baloch separatists involved in cross-border militancy.
  • Both nations recalled ambassadors briefly but restored diplomatic dialogue within days, avoiding full-scale escalation.
  1. Transformation in Pakistan–Iran Relations Post-Clashes

Before the Clashes

After the Clashes

Strategic ambiguity, limited engagement

Hard security recalibration on both sides

Border skirmishes, but not deep incursions

Direct missile/drone strikes; violation of airspace

Emphasis on trade and energy talks

Suspicion, renewed focus on intelligence cooperation

Regional neutrality posture

Movement toward strategic signaling and power assertion

The incident has led to militarization of diplomacy, increased focus on sovereignty, deterrence, and coercive signaling, reshaping bilateral trust.

  1. Realist Perspective: Principles and Interpretation

Realism in IR is based on:

  • Anarchy in the international system
  • State-centricity and rational actors
  • National interest and survival
  • Power politics and self-help mechanisms

Realist Interpretation of the Clashes:

  • Both states acted in self-help, prioritizing domestic security over bilateral trust.
  • Territorial sovereignty was momentarily compromised, yet deemed acceptable to deter future threats.
  • Dialogue resumed only after power was demonstrated, not moral persuasion.

“In the realist world, power precedes peace.” — Hans Morgenthau

  1. Geopolitical and Strategic Factors Shaping Relations
  2. Border Security and Sovereignty
  • Pakistan faces Baloch separatist insurgency; Iran combats Sunni extremist groups in Sistan-Balochistan.
  • Both view cross-border sanctuaries as existential threats.
  • Use of force projection marks a shift from passive containment to active disruption.
  1. Sectarian Balances and Proxy Networks
  • Iran is a Shiite theocracy; Pakistan has a Sunni majority but also a large Shiite population.
  • Balancing domestic sectarian stability with regional alliances (e.g., Iran–India, Pakistan–Saudi Arabia) complicates cooperation.

III. Regional Rivalries and Power Balancing

  • Iran views itself as a regional hegemon, especially post-US withdrawal from Afghanistan.
  • Pakistan balances Iran with Saudi and GCC ties, and deep security ties with China.
  • Both aim to avoid encirclement, especially with India–Iran cooperation on Chabahar and Pakistan–China on Gwadar.
  1. Economic and Energy Interests
  • Iran has vast natural gas reserves; Pakistan has energy deficits.
  • IP gas pipeline stalled due to US sanctions and strategic mistrust.
  • Trade remains underdeveloped, barely crossing $1 billion annually.

“Realism recognizes economics only when it serves national power.” — Kenneth Waltz

  1. Future Scenarios and Realist Implications
  2. Controlled Competition and Strategic Hedging
  • Cooperation on intelligence and border security, but power signaling remains dominant.
  • Military dialogues may be institutionalized under mutual deterrence logic.
  1. Regional Blocs and Balancing Behavior
  • Pakistan may deepen ties with Saudi Arabia and GCC, while Iran may expand toward India and Russia.
  • The rivalry may spill into Afghan Balochistan and Baluch corridors, increasing proxy conflict risk.
  1. Pragmatic Normalization with Realist Calculus
  • Like China–India post-Doklam, Pakistan and Iran may normalize ties without resolving core distrust.
  • Mutual recognition of red lines may lead to a new border engagement protocol.

“Peace in realism is a pause between power recalibrations, not a permanent settlement.” — John Mearsheimer

  1. Conclusion

The post-strike transformation in Pakistan–Iran relations underscores a hard realist shift in South-West Asian geopolitics. Sovereignty violations, once taboo, are now part of strategic coercion, signaling resolve and capacity. While diplomacy has resumed, future relations will be shaped by power projection, strategic interest, and mutual deterrence rather than ideological affinity or economic cooperation.

Bold Conclusion:
According to realism, states act not out of friendship, but interest. Pakistan and Iran will maintain engagement, but their future will be determined by power equations, regional balancing, and threat perceptions—not moral considerations or multilateral ideals.

Visual Aid: Realist Lens – Pakistan–Iran Conflict Matrix

Realist Principle

Application in Case Study

Anarchy

Absence of binding global laws enabled strikes

National Interest

Security override over diplomacy

Power Balancing

Assertive retaliation to deter future attacks

Self-Help

States took unilateral action without alliances

Strategic Hedging

Dialogue resumed only after shows of strength

Q. No. 7: Under the Taliban rule, Afghanistan has not secured global political recognition. What factors contribute to this failure on the international stage? How have the Taliban’s policies, particularly in areas such as non-cooperation with international community, human rights and governance, impacted the reluctance of the international community to recognize the government?

Outline

  1. Introduction
  2. Political Recognition in International Relations
  3. Factors Behind Taliban’s Failure to Gain Recognition
    • I. Absence of Inclusive Governance
    • II. Human Rights Violations
    • III. Gender Apartheid and Women’s Suppression
    • IV. Non-Cooperation with International Norms
    • V. Diplomatic Isolation and Strategic Ambiguity
    • VI. Fear of Safe Haven for Terrorist Groups
  4. International Legal and Political Constraints
  5. Regional Approaches: Recognition Without Legitimization
  6. Consequences of Non-Recognition
  7. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

Since the Taliban takeover of Kabul in August 2021, Afghanistan has remained politically unrecognized by the United Nations and majority of sovereign states. Despite exercising de facto control, the Taliban have failed to secure de jure legitimacy on the global stage. This diplomatic impasse is rooted in their policies of isolation, rigid ideology, and defiance of international norms, especially regarding human rights and inclusive governance.

“Recognition is not merely about control—it is about conformity with global values.” — Antonio Guterres, UN Secretary-General

  1. Political Recognition in International Relations

In IR, recognition is the formal acceptance of a government’s legitimacy by the international community, which enables:

  • Diplomatic relations
  • Access to international organizations (UN, IMF, etc.)
  • Legal and trade cooperation

Recognition is guided not only by territorial control, but also adherence to international legal and normative standards, including human rights, democratic legitimacy, and global peace obligations.

  1. Factors Behind Taliban’s Failure to Gain Recognition
  2. Absence of Inclusive Governance
  • The Taliban have formed a mono-ethnic, male-dominated interim government, excluding non-Pashtun groups, women, and political rivals.
  • Violates the Doha Agreement (2020) commitment to form an inclusive political system.
  • No elections, constitution, or legal legitimacy structure.

“The Taliban govern by exclusion, not by consensus.” — International Crisis Group (2022)

  1. Human Rights Violations
  • Documented executions, forced disappearances, arbitrary detentions, and media repression.
  • Amnesty International and UNAMA have reported systemic rights abuses, especially against ethnic minorities (Hazaras, Tajiks).

III. Gender Apartheid and Women’s Suppression

  • Girls banned from secondary and higher education.
  • Women restricted from public jobs, travel, NGOs, and even parks.
  • These actions amount to gender apartheid, condemned by UN, EU, OIC, and feminist groups worldwide.

“A government that imprisons half its population at home cannot be recognized.” — Michelle Bachelet, Former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights

  1. Non-Cooperation with International Norms
  • Taliban reject international accountability mechanisms and human rights treaties.
  • Expelled or restricted access to UN agencies, NGOs, and humanitarian monitors.
  • Continuously avoid diplomatic commitments on counter-terrorism and governance reform.
  1. Diplomatic Isolation and Strategic Ambiguity
  • No formal recognition from any country—not even allies like Pakistan, China, Iran, or Russia.
  • No clear foreign policy vision or willingness to integrate into multilateral frameworks (e.g., SAARC, OIC).
  • Taliban foreign ministry lacks capacity and credibility.
  1. Fear of Safe Haven for Terrorist Groups
  • Continued presence of Al-Qaeda affiliates, Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), and ISIS-Khorasan on Afghan soil.
  • Taliban’s failure to implement counter-terrorism assurances from the Doha Deal undermines global trust.
  • Killed Ayman al-Zawahiri (Al-Qaeda chief) was found in Kabul under Taliban rule in 2022.

“A state that harbors terrorists cannot be granted legitimacy.” — US Department of State (2022)

  1. International Legal and Political Constraints
  • United Nations has not transferred Afghanistan’s seat to the Taliban.
  • Most countries maintain “working relations” through humanitarian channels but not formal recognition.
  • Recognition would require acceptance of norms in UN Charter, including human rights, minority protection, and peace obligations.
  1. Regional Approaches: Recognition Without Legitimization

Country

Policy Toward Taliban

China

Engages in dialogue, no recognition

Pakistan

Strategic ties, cautious engagement

Iran

De facto interaction, border skirmishes

Russia

Participates in regional talks, no recognition

OIC

Offers humanitarian aid, urges women’s rights

  • These states recognize Taliban authority de facto but not diplomatically.
  • Aim to influence behavior through conditional engagement, not full acceptance.
  1. Consequences of Non-Recognition
  • Economic Isolation: No access to international financial systems, reserves frozen (~$7 billion US reserves).
  • Humanitarian Crisis: Over 25 million Afghans need urgent aid; over 90% live in poverty.
  • Governance Vacuum: Lack of formal engagement weakens state-building efforts.
  • Increased Radicalization: Marginalization may fuel extremism and transnational instability.
  1. Conclusion

The Taliban’s failure to gain international recognition is not due to geopolitical bias, but their own intransigence on fundamental norms of governance, human rights, and diplomacy. Recognition is not a reward for power—it is an endorsement of legitimacy, responsibility, and shared global values. Unless the Taliban demonstrate a genuine transformation in their policies, particularly toward women, minorities, and civil rights, their regime will remain isolated.

Bold Conclusion:
Recognition is earned, not claimed. The Taliban’s ideological rigidity, human rights violations, and refusal to engage meaningfully with the global community are the core reasons for their diplomatic isolation. Until they embrace inclusive governance and international norms, Afghanistan will remain politically stranded.

Visual Aid: Recognition Barriers Chart

Barrier

Status Under Taliban Rule

Inclusive Political System

Gender Equality

Minority Rights Protection

Counter-Terrorism Cooperation

International Legal Compliance

Regional Confidence

⚠️ (Partial engagement only)

Q. No. 8: How does the United Nations, often criticized as a failed world body with a biased and undemocratic Security Council, justify its actions or lack thereof in the context of war in Gaza?

Outline

  1. Introduction
  2. The UN Structure and the Role of the Security Council
  3. UN Response to the Gaza War: Key Events and Actions
  4. Criticism of the UN and Security Council: Bias, Deadlock, and Inefficiency
  5. Justifications for UN Actions or Inaction
  6. Broader Structural Limitations of the UN System
  7. Way Forward: Reforming the UN for Equitable Global Governance
  8. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

The United Nations, established in 1945 to “save succeeding generations from the scourge of war,” is increasingly perceived as ineffectual and biased, especially in the context of protracted and high-casualty conflicts like the Gaza War. The failure of the UN Security Council (UNSC) to secure a ceasefire or prevent large-scale civilian deaths has raised fundamental questions about the legitimacy, neutrality, and democratic nature of the world body.

“In Gaza, the world watches in horror while the UN stands paralysed.” — UN Special Rapporteur, 2023

  1. The UN Structure and the Role of the Security Council

Organ

Function

General Assembly

Moral authority, non-binding resolutions

Security Council

Primary body for international peace and security decisions

UN Secretariat & Agencies

Humanitarian aid, peacekeeping, diplomacy

  • Security Council: 15 members (5 permanent with veto – US, UK, France, Russia, China).
  • Veto power enables any P5 member to block resolutions, even amid global consensus.
  1. UN Response to the Gaza War: Key Events and Actions
  • October 2023 – Present: Escalation of Israeli bombardment on Gaza following Hamas attacks.
  • UNGA Resolutions: Adopted calls for humanitarian ceasefires (non-binding).
  • UNSC Resolutions: Multiple attempts failed due to US vetoes, despite overwhelming global support.
  • UN Agencies (UNRWA, WHO, UNICEF):
    • Delivered humanitarian aid.
    • Called out violations of international humanitarian law.
    • Reported destruction of hospitals, refugee camps, and schools.

“Gaza has become a graveyard for children.” — Antonio Guterres, UN Secretary-General (Nov 2023)

  1. Criticism of the UN and Security Council
  2. Biased and Undemocratic Structure
  • P5 domination allows geopolitical interests to override global consensus.
  • The US consistently shields Israel, vetoing over 45 resolutions since 1972.
  1. Inability to Enforce Ceasefire
  • No peacekeeping force authorized.
  • UN’s calls for humanitarian corridors and ceasefires often ignored.

III. Human Rights Failures

  • Civilian casualties (over 30,000 deaths reported) have not led to punitive international action.
  • UN Human Rights Council resolutions lack binding authority.
  1. Moral Authority Erosion
  • Double standards: swift UN actions in Ukraine vs. inertia in Palestine.
  • Loss of credibility among Global South and Muslim-majority states.

“The UN is the voice of the powerful, not the persecuted.” — Edward Said

  1. Justifications for UN Actions or Inaction
  2. Structural Constraints
  • The UN is a member-driven organization; it cannot override state sovereignty or the veto system.

“Blame not the UN, but the unwillingness of its members to act.” — Dag Hammarskjöld, 2nd UN Secretary-General

  1. Humanitarian Operations in Gaza
  • Despite political deadlock, UN agencies have provided:
    • Emergency food, water, medical aid
    • Refugee shelter through UNRWA
  • The UNGA’s Emergency Special Sessions have been used to build diplomatic pressure.
  1. Advocacy and Global Mobilization
  • The UN provides platforms for small states, civil society, and NGOs to highlight human rights violations.
  • Issued detailed reports on war crimes and human rights breaches.

“Our silence would make us complicit; we have spoken when others looked away.” — Francesca Albanese, UN Rapporteur on Palestine

  1. Broader Structural Limitations of the UN System

Issue

Impact

Veto Power

Prevents consensus and decisive action

Lack of Enforcement Mechanism

No standing army or coercive capacity

Western Institutional Dominance

Tilted norms and narratives on conflicts

Funding Dependencies

Agencies like UNRWA underfunded due to political pressures

  1. Way Forward: Reforming the UN for Equitable Global Governance
  • Expand UNSC: Add permanent members from Africa, Muslim world, Latin America.
  • Veto Reform: Introduce qualified veto (e.g., overridden by 2/3 General Assembly vote).
  • Strengthen UNGA: Enhance authority of the General Assembly in emergencies.
  • Protect Humanitarian Agencies: Insulate from political funding cuts.

“A just UN must reflect the world as it is—not as it was in 1945.” — Kofi Annan

  1. Conclusion

The Gaza War has exposed the inherent contradictions in the UN system—a body that promotes peace and justice yet remains paralyzed by geopolitics. While UN agencies continue their humanitarian mission with courage, the Security Council’s paralysis reflects an urgent need for reform. The global South’s growing disillusionment could weaken the UN’s legitimacy unless structural changes are pursued.

Bold Conclusion:
The United Nations is not a failed institution—but a flawed one. Its inaction in Gaza reflects political capture, not institutional decay. To uphold its founding ideals, the UN must democratize, decolonize, and decentralize its power structure so that humanity—not hegemony—guides its mission.

Visual Aid: UN Performance in Gaza War – Scorecard

Dimension

Performance

Notes

Humanitarian Aid

✅ (Moderate success)

UNRWA, WHO, UNICEF active

Ceasefire Enforcement

❌ (Failed)

UNSC veto blocked action

Human Rights Advocacy

⚠️ (Limited impact)

Reports issued, but no binding power

Diplomatic Legitimacy

⚠️ (Questioned)

Accused of bias and double standards

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