Css 2019

Q. No. 2: Foreign policy scholars argued that transnational actors influence the contours of any country’s foreign policy. Discuss keeping in mind the foreign policy of China.

Outline:

  1. Introduction
  2. Understanding Transnational Actors in International Relations
  3. China’s Foreign Policy: Historical and Strategic Overview
  4. How Transnational Actors Influence China’s Foreign Policy
    • I. Multinational Corporations (MNCs)
    • II. Diaspora and Overseas Chinese Networks
    • III. International Institutions
    • IV. Global Civil Society and NGOs
    • V. Media, Academia & Think Tanks
  5. Case Studies:
    • Belt and Road Initiative
    • China’s Climate Diplomacy
    • Taiwan Issue and Tech Companies
  6. Theoretical Insights: Liberalism, Constructivism
  7. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

Foreign policy is no longer the exclusive domain of sovereign states. With globalization, transnational actors — including corporations, NGOs, diasporas, and global institutions — play an increasing role in shaping state behavior. In the case of China, a rising global power, its foreign policy has been significantly shaped and constrained by such actors across trade, technology, climate, and geopolitics.

“Foreign policy today is a chessboard of states and a web of transnational influences.” — Joseph Nye

  1. Understanding Transnational Actors in IR

Transnational actors refer to non-state entities that operate across national boundaries and influence policy agendas, including:

  • Multinational Corporations (MNCs)
  • Diasporas and ethnic communities
  • Non-governmental organizations (NGOs)
  • International institutions
  • Think tanks and epistemic communities

These actors influence foreign policy through investment, lobbying, advocacy, information flows, and norm diffusion.

  1. China’s Foreign Policy: Strategic and Historical Context

China’s foreign policy is traditionally rooted in:

  • Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence
  • Non-interventionism and mutual respect for sovereignty
  • Strategic pursuit of core interests: sovereignty, security, development

Yet, as it became integrated into the global system, transnational actors have begun reshaping China’s diplomacy in ways both cooperative and confrontational.

  1. How Transnational Actors Influence China’s Foreign Policy
  2. Multinational Corporations (MNCs)
  • Major MNCs like Apple, Tesla, and Volkswagen influence China’s trade, labor, and technology policy.
  • China’s responses to US sanctions (e.g., Huawei, ZTE) are shaped by corporate lobbying and technological interdependence.
  • Foreign MNCs push China towards intellectual property protection and regulatory reform to stay competitive in global markets.
  1. Diaspora and Overseas Chinese Networks
  • Over 60 million overseas Chinese act as soft power bridges in Southeast Asia, North America, and Africa.
  • Diasporas promote investment and defend China’s image globally (e.g., countering anti-China narratives).
  • China’s “United Front Work Department” actively mobilizes diaspora for political lobbying and influence.

III. International Institutions

  • China’s foreign policy has been shaped by WTO membership, World Bank partnerships, and UN engagement.
  • Criticism from UNHRC and UN special rapporteurs on Xinjiang and Tibet push China to reframe its human rights diplomacy.
  • Institutions like AIIB and BRICS Bank are used by China to reshape global governance norms.
  1. Global Civil Society and NGOs
  • Western NGOs (e.g., Human Rights Watch, Amnesty International) shape international opinion on China’s domestic policies.
  • In response, China regulates foreign NGOs through the Overseas NGO Law (2017).
  • Environmental NGOs have pushed China to transition away from coal and adopt green finance policies.
  1. Media, Academia & Think Tanks
  • Global think tanks critique China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and debt-trap diplomacy.
  • Chinese academic institutions like CASS and CICIR act as policy shapers and diplomatic bridges.
  • International media coverage influences China’s public diplomacy strategies.
  1. Case Studies
  2. Belt and Road Initiative (BRI)
  • Influenced by business networks, infrastructure firms, and regional development banks.
  • MNCs lobby Beijing for inclusion in BRI projects.
  • Backlash by NGOs and civil societies in Sri Lanka, Kenya, and Malaysia influenced China to restructure BRI contracts.
  1. Climate Diplomacy
  • Environmental activists and institutions like the IPCC have pressured China into climate action leadership.
  • China’s 2060 carbon neutrality pledge emerged amid both international and domestic green lobbying.
  • Collaboration with transnational climate think tanks helped design China’s carbon markets and green bonds.
  1. Taiwan and Big Tech
  • Tech giants like Google, Facebook, and TSMC influence China’s stance on cross-strait relations.
  • China’s “One China” policy enforced via economic coercion and digital diplomacy is challenged by non-state tech platforms.
  • Apple and Disney’s compliance with China’s content demands reflects corporate influence on diplomatic messaging.
  1. Theoretical Insights

Theory

Explanation

Liberalism

Transnational actors promote cooperation, economic interdependence, and shared norms.

Constructivism

Transnational networks reshape state identity, perception, and international behavior.

Realism (counter)

Views foreign policy as state-centric; critiques overemphasizing non-state actors.

“Non-state actors are now co-authors of foreign policy, not just spectators.” — Robert Keohane

  1. Conclusion

China’s foreign policy, once viewed as a rigid, state-centric model, has become increasingly interactive and adaptive in the face of transnational pressures. From global corporations to diaspora communities, these actors influence how China engages the world — often balancing assertiveness with accommodation.

Bold Conclusion:
China’s foreign policy is no longer made in Beijing alone—it is shaped by a chorus of transnational actors operating across markets, diasporas, and digital spheres. In the 21st century, power flows not only through states but through networks.

Visual Aid: Transnational Actor Influence on China’s Foreign Policy

Actor

Tool of Influence

Policy Impact Area

MNCs

Trade, lobbying, capital

Investment laws, technology restrictions

Diaspora

Political advocacy, remittances

Soft power, image-building

NGOs

Advocacy campaigns

Human rights, environment

Institutions (e.g., UN)

Normative pressure

Compliance, narrative management

Media/Think Tanks

Opinion shaping, academic discourse

Public diplomacy, perception management

Q. No. 3: It is argued that democratic countries pursue peaceful foreign policies. Support your answer with concrete examples.

Outline:

  1. Introduction
  2. Theoretical Foundation: The Democratic Peace Theory
  3. Why Democracies Tend Toward Peaceful Foreign Policies
  4. Empirical Evidence and Case Studies
    • I. U.S. and Western Europe Post-WWII
    • II. India’s Non-Aggressive Doctrine
    • III. Germany and Japan After 1945
    • IV. Scandinavian Foreign Policy Traditions
  5. Exceptions and Critiques of the Thesis
  6. Counterexamples: Democracies in War
  7. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

The idea that democracies are more peaceful than other forms of governance has long attracted scholarly interest in international relations. Rooted in liberal institutionalism and Kantian ideals, the argument asserts that democratic nations prefer dialogue, diplomacy, and rules-based order over aggression.

“No two democracies have ever gone to war with each other.” — Immanuel Kant’s Perpetual Peace thesis (1795)

  1. Theoretical Foundation: The Democratic Peace Theory

Democratic Peace Theory (DPT), championed by scholars like Michael Doyle and Bruce Russett, claims:

  • Democracies are less likely to go to war with each other.
  • Public opinion, institutional checks and balances, and transparent governance restrain war-making.
  • Democracies tend to externalize norms of negotiation and law.
  1. Why Democracies Tend Toward Peaceful Foreign Policies

Reason

Explanation

Accountability to voters

Leaders need public support to wage war; public tends to oppose costly conflicts.

Rule of law and debate

Institutional mechanisms slow impulsive military action.

Economic interdependence

Democracies promote trade, which makes war costly.

Shared norms and mutual trust

Democratic systems promote predictability and peaceful conflict resolution.

  1. Empirical Evidence and Case Studies
  2. United States and Western Europe Post-WWII
  • The U.S., U.K., France, Germany, and other democracies have maintained peaceful relations since WWII.
  • Creation of NATO, UN, EU shows preference for collective security and diplomacy.
  1. India’s Foreign Policy
  • Despite regional tensions, India has generally followed non-aggressive diplomacy, especially in:
    • No First Use nuclear doctrine.
    • Resolution of border issues (e.g., Sri Lanka, Maldives) through diplomatic channels.
    • Avoidance of war despite Kargil and 2008 Mumbai attacks.

III. Germany and Japan After WWII

  • Both transformed into pacifist democracies.
  • Germany emphasizes multilateralism and Japan maintains a pacifist constitution under Article 9.
  • Both countries promote peace-building and development aid, not militarism.
  1. Scandinavian Countries
  • Nations like Norway, Sweden, and Denmark are global leaders in peace diplomacy, mediation, and development aid.
  • Host negotiations (e.g., Oslo Accords) and contribute to UN Peacekeeping.
  1. Exceptions and Critiques of the Thesis

Critique

Explanation

Democracies do go to war

Against non-democracies (e.g., Iraq 2003) or via drone strikes/interventions.

Democracy as justification

Sometimes used as a pretext for intervention (e.g., Libya, Afghanistan).

Western hypocrisy

Peaceful at home, aggressive abroad.

Democracy varies in practice

Not all democracies function equally; some are flawed or illiberal.

  1. Counterexamples: Democracies in War

Country

Conflict

Comment

U.S.

Iraq (2003), Afghanistan (2001)

Criticized as strategic, not humanitarian interventions

Israel

Palestine conflicts

Despite democratic status, accused of human rights violations

India

Kargil War (1999)

Defensive operation after Pakistani intrusion

Realist Critique: Democracies act peacefully only when interests align. When threatened, they behave like any other state.

  1. Conclusion

Democratic countries, owing to their institutional designs and liberal values, generally pursue more peaceful foreign policies, particularly toward other democracies. While there are exceptions shaped by strategic interests, the trend shows that democracy, when practiced transparently and accountably, remains a powerful restraint on war.

Bold Conclusion:
Democracies do not guarantee peace, but they provide the best conditions for its pursuit. In a conflict-ridden world, strengthening democratic norms globally may be our best hope for a sustainable peace.

Visual Aid: Democracy and Peace Index (Sample)

Country

Democracy Score

War Involvement Since 2000

Peace Preference

Norway

9.87

None

High

India

7.23

Defensive (Kargil)

Medium-High

United States

7.92

Iraq, Afghanistan

Strategic Conflict

Germany

8.68

None

High

Japan

8.13

None

High (Pacifist)

  1. No. 4: Explain the objectives and determinants of Pakistan’s foreign policy.

Outline:

  1. Introduction
  2. Definition of Foreign Policy
  3. Objectives of Pakistan’s Foreign Policy
  4. Determinants of Pakistan’s Foreign Policy
    • I. Geostrategic Location
    • II. Security Concerns
    • III. Economic Interests
    • IV. Ideological Foundations
    • V. Domestic Politics
    • VI. Relations with Major Powers
    • VII. Regional and Global Developments
  5. Analysis of Foreign Policy Shifts Over Time
  6. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

Foreign policy is the extension of a state’s national interests into the international arena, shaped by both internal aspirations and external compulsions. For Pakistan, a nation born from an ideological movement and situated in a geostrategic region, foreign policy is a delicate balancing act between ideology, national security, and global diplomacy.

“Foreign policy is the shield of national sovereignty in the realm of international affairs.” — Hans Morgenthau

  1. Definition of Foreign Policy

Foreign policy refers to a state’s strategy in dealing with other nations to achieve national objectives, protect interests, and maintain its sovereignty. It is dynamic and responds to evolving domestic and global realities.

  1. Objectives of Pakistan’s Foreign Policy

According to official documents, including speeches by Pakistan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and white papers:

  1. Preservation of National Security and Sovereignty
  • Main objective since 1947; driven by tensions with India, nuclear deterrence, and internal terrorism threats.
  1. Promotion of Economic Development
  • Seeking foreign investment, trade agreements, and energy security.
  • Example: CPEC (China-Pakistan Economic Corridor) under BRI.

III. Safeguarding Ideological Foundations

  • As a state created on Islamic ideology, Pakistan promotes Muslim causes (e.g., Palestine, Kashmir).
  • Active role in OIC and Muslim solidarity.
  1. Peaceful Coexistence and Regional Stability
  • Advocates peaceful resolution of disputes, especially Kashmir.
  • Supports Afghan peace process and regional harmony.
  1. Non-alignment and Strategic Partnerships
  • Maintains friendly ties with all, avoiding entanglement in superpower rivalries.
  • Balanced relations with China, U.S., Gulf States, and Russia.
  1. Support for Kashmir Cause
  • Longstanding objective to advocate for the right of self-determination for Kashmiris under UNSC resolutions.

“Pakistan seeks peace with dignity, sovereignty with stability, and partnership with equality.” — Pakistani Foreign Office, 2023

  1. Determinants of Pakistan’s Foreign Policy
  2. Geostrategic Location
  • Pakistan lies at the crossroads of South Asia, Central Asia, and the Middle East.
  • Controls access to the Arabian Sea and land routes to Afghanistan and Central Asia.
  • This location attracts global powers and investment, but also exposes Pakistan to conflict zones.
  1. Security Concerns
  • Ongoing rivalry with India, particularly over Kashmir, shapes military and diplomatic priorities.
  • Threat of terrorism, both from internal militancy and Afghan spillover, dictates regional alignments.
  • Maintenance of strategic nuclear deterrence is a central pillar.

III. Economic Interests

  • Pakistan’s foreign policy is increasingly trade- and economy-focused.
  • Seeks financial support from IMF, World Bank, China, and Gulf states.
  • Promotes regional connectivity: TAPI, CASA-1000, CPEC.
  1. Ideological Foundations
  • As a homeland for Muslims of South Asia, Islamic solidarity plays a core role.
  • Support for Palestine, opposition to Islamophobia, and cultural diplomacy in the Muslim world.
  1. Domestic Political Environment
  • Shifts in government impact tone and focus (e.g., PTI’s “independent foreign policy”).
  • Role of military establishment in foreign policy execution is significant, especially in security-related decisions.
  1. Relations with Major Powers
  • China: All-weather strategic partner (CPEC, defense cooperation).
  • United States: Security and economic partner, though ties have fluctuated post-9/11.
  • Russia: Improving ties for energy and defense diversification.
  • Gulf Countries: Crucial for remittances, energy imports, and religious diplomacy.

VII. Regional and Global Dynamics

  • Rise of India, instability in Afghanistan, U.S.-China rivalry, and Middle East conflicts shape Pakistan’s posture.
  • Involvement in regional organizations like SAARC, SCO, OIC, and ECO.
  1. Analysis of Foreign Policy Shifts Over Time

Era

Foreign Policy Focus

1947–1960s

Pro-West, joined SEATO, CENTO; aligned against Soviet Union

1970s (Bhutto era)

Shift toward Islamic bloc, non-alignment, initiated nuclear program

1980s (Zia era)

Frontline state in Afghan Jihad, strong ties with U.S. and Gulf

1990s

Post-Cold War adjustments; economic and political instability affected outreach

Post-2001

Ally in War on Terror, military and economic aid from U.S.

Post-2015

Tilt toward China (CPEC) and diversification of alliances with Russia, Turkey, Central Asia

Post-2021 (Afghan withdrawal)

Focus on regional peace, counterterrorism, and economic diplomacy

  1. Conclusion

Pakistan’s foreign policy is shaped by a blend of realist compulsions and ideological aspirations, balancing security concerns with economic development, and striving for regional peace while guarding sovereignty. While objectives have remained consistent, the determinants evolve with shifts in global and domestic contexts.

Bold Conclusion:
Pakistan’s foreign policy is not fixed; it adapts. In a changing global order, Pakistan’s future lies in strategic autonomy, regional cooperation, and projecting soft power beyond borders.

Q. No. 5: Define power. Explain with examples the concept of hard power, soft power and smart power in international politics.

Outline:

  1. Introduction
  2. Definition of Power in International Politics
  3. Concept of Hard Power
  4. Concept of Soft Power
  5. Concept of Smart Power
  6. Comparative Table: Hard vs Soft vs Smart Power
  7. Real-World Examples of Each Type of Power
  8. Relevance in Contemporary Geopolitics
  9. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

In international politics, power is the currency of global influence. The ability of a state to shape outcomes, influence other actors, and assert its will defines its role in global affairs. Power is not merely military might—it spans economic leverage, cultural appeal, and diplomatic influence.

“Power is the ability to get others to do what they otherwise would not.” — Joseph Nye

  1. Definition of Power in International Politics

Power refers to the capacity of an actor (usually a state) to influence the behavior, actions, or interests of other states and actors in the international system.

It manifests in three primary forms:

  • Hard Power – Coercion through force or payments
  • Soft Power – Attraction through values, culture, and diplomacy
  • Smart Power – Strategic combination of both hard and soft power
  1. Concept of Hard Power

Hard Power is based on coercion or inducement—using military force, economic sanctions, or material incentives to achieve foreign policy objectives.

Tools of Hard Power:

  • Military interventions
  • Economic sanctions or aid
  • Threat of use of force

Examples:

  • U.S. invasion of Iraq (2003): Military intervention to achieve regime change.
  • Sanctions on Iran and North Korea: Economic pressure to halt nuclear ambitions.
  • Russia’s invasion of Ukraine (2022): Use of military force to assert geopolitical dominance.

“Hard power remains indispensable in cases where attraction fails or threats must be countered.” — Stephen Walt

  1. Concept of Soft Power

Soft Power, coined by Joseph Nye, is the ability to attract and co-opt rather than coerce. It relies on the appeal of a country’s culture, political values, and foreign policies.

Sources of Soft Power:

  • Cultural exports (films, music, language)
  • Moral authority and human rights record
  • Education, diplomacy, and foreign aid

Examples:

  • Korean Wave (Hallyu): South Korea spreads influence through K-pop and K-dramas.
  • U.S. universities and Hollywood: Make America aspirational for global youth.
  • China’s Confucius Institutes: Promote Chinese language and culture worldwide.
  • Pakistan’s humanitarian diplomacy in the Muslim world builds soft image through relief efforts.
  1. Concept of Smart Power

Smart Power is the strategic combination of hard and soft power to create a more effective foreign policy. It involves knowing when to use coercion and when to persuade.

Characteristics:

  • Balanced use of military, economic, and diplomatic tools
  • Building alliances and legitimacy
  • Long-term engagement strategy

Examples:

  • U.S. policy in post-WWII Europe: Marshall Plan (soft) + NATO deterrence (hard)
  • China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): Investment (soft) + military base in Djibouti (hard)
  • Turkey’s Neo-Ottomanism: Military assertiveness in Syria (hard) + cultural outreach in Muslim world (soft)

“Smart power means choosing the right tools for the right context.” — Joseph Nye

  1. Comparative Table: Hard vs Soft vs Smart Power

Aspect

Hard Power

Soft Power

Smart Power

Nature

Coercive (sticks & carrots)

Attractive & persuasive

Strategic combination of both

Tools

Military, sanctions, payments

Culture, values, diplomacy

Economic aid + force + alliances

Examples

Iraq invasion, sanctions on Iran

Hollywood, Confucius Institutes

NATO + EU trade policies, BRI

Limitations

Generates resistance or backlash

Slow, may lack immediate impact

Requires coordination and strategic vision

  1. Real-World Examples of Each Type of Power

Country

Hard Power

Soft Power

Smart Power

USA

Iraq War, drone strikes

Harvard, Hollywood, democratic values

NATO, foreign aid with conditionality

China

South China Sea militarization

Cultural exports, Confucius Institutes

BRI + military base in Djibouti

Russia

Ukraine invasion, energy coercion

Russian literature, global media (RT)

Energy diplomacy + military intervention

India

Surgical strikes (2016), defense buildup

Yoga diplomacy, Bollywood, democracy narrative

Vaccine diplomacy + strategic military partnerships

  1. Relevance in Contemporary Geopolitics
  • In an interdependent world, military might alone cannot ensure dominance.
  • The information age amplifies soft power through global connectivity.
  • Middle powers (like Turkey, India, Brazil) increasingly rely on smart power to punch above their weight.
  • In hybrid warfare, states blend kinetic force with influence operations (cyber, media, culture).
  1. Conclusion

Power in international politics is multifaceted and dynamic. While hard power may win wars, soft power wins hearts and legitimacy. Smart power, as the ideal synthesis, equips states to navigate an increasingly complex global order with adaptability and strategic foresight.

Bold Conclusion:
In the 21st century, the most successful nations are not those that dominate by force alone, but those that blend strength with persuasion, and hard resolve with human appeal—this is the essence of smart power.

Q. No. 6: Evaluate the impact of IMF loan on the economy of Pakistan.

Outline:

  1. Introduction
  2. Historical Background of Pakistan-IMF Relationship
  3. Key Objectives of IMF Loan Programs in Pakistan
  4. Positive Impacts of IMF Loans
  5. Negative Impacts of IMF Loans
  6. Critical Evaluation: Mixed Results
  7. Scholarly and Institutional Opinions
  8. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

Pakistan has been a frequent borrower of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), turning to it during times of balance of payments crises and fiscal deficits. While IMF support provides short-term financial relief, it often comes with austerity and structural reform conditions. The economic outcomes, therefore, remain mixed, debated, and controversial.

“The IMF is like a doctor whose bitter medicine sometimes cures and sometimes weakens the patient.” — Joseph Stiglitz

  1. Historical Background of Pakistan-IMF Relationship
  • Pakistan joined the IMF in 1950.
  • Since then, it has signed 23 loan agreements, making it one of the most frequent borrowers.
  • Major IMF programs include:
    • Structural Adjustment Program (SAP) – 1988 onward
    • Extended Fund Facility (EFF) – 2001, 2013, 2019, and 2023
    • Stand-by Arrangements – 2008, 2023
  1. Key Objectives of IMF Loan Programs in Pakistan
  • Stabilize macroeconomic imbalances
  • Ensure fiscal discipline and reduce public debt
  • Promote tax reforms and revenue mobilization
  • Curb inflation and subsidies
  • Facilitate exchange rate flexibility
  • Encourage privatization and deregulation
  1. Positive Impacts of IMF Loans
  2. Balance of Payments Support
  • IMF injections helped prevent currency collapse and reserve depletion.
  • Example: In 2023, Pakistan averted default after receiving a $3 billion IMF bailout.
  1. Macroeconomic Stabilization
  • IMF programs helped reduce current account deficits, control inflation (temporarily), and stabilize exchange rates.
  • 2013–2016 EFF program improved growth to 4.7% and reduced fiscal deficit.

III. Structural Reforms (on paper)

  • Introduction of federal tax authority (FBR) reforms.
  • Gradual reduction of energy subsidies to control circular debt.
  • Push for market-based exchange rate, improving export competitiveness.
  1. Investor Confidence & International Support
  • IMF’s involvement often signals credibility, unlocking funds from World Bank, ADB, and friendly countries.
  • Acts as a seal of approval for international creditors.
  1. Negative Impacts of IMF Loans
  2. Austerity Measures and Social Costs
  • IMF programs lead to higher utility tariffs, fuel prices, and cutbacks in public spending.
  • Impacts poor and middle classes disproportionately.
  • Healthcare and education suffer due to reduced subsidies.

“IMF cures economic symptoms but aggravates social illness.” — Dr. Hafiz Pasha

  1. Currency Depreciation and Inflation
  • Market-based exchange rates often trigger rupee devaluation.
  • Devaluation results in imported inflation, raising cost of living.
  • Inflation crossed 29% in 2023, partly due to IMF-mandated adjustments.

III. Growth Slowdown

  • Austerity restricts development spending, which hurts long-term growth.
  • Pakistan’s GDP growth fell from 6% (2022) to 1.5% (2023) after IMF interventions.
  1. Sovereignty and Policy Autonomy
  • IMF dictates fiscal policy, taxation reforms, and energy pricing, reducing national autonomy.
  • Domestic politics become subordinate to external lenders.
  1. Cyclical Dependence
  • IMF loans provide temporary relief, but structural weaknesses persist.
  • Pakistan remains stuck in a debt-rescue-debt cycle without sustainable reforms.
  1. Critical Evaluation: Mixed Results

Aspect

Positive Impact

Negative Impact

Macroeconomics

Controlled deficits, improved reserves

Low growth, high inflation

Social Sector

Subsidy reform

Education, health budgets slashed

Currency

Stabilized over time

Sudden devaluation & inflation spikes

Reforms

Tax reform initiation, exchange rate adjustment

Political resistance, poor implementation

Public Sentiment

Hope for recovery

High dissatisfaction and protests

  1. Scholarly and Institutional Opinions
  • IMF View:

“Pakistan needs structural reform, tax base expansion, and fiscal discipline to avoid repeated crises.” — IMF Country Report, 2023

  • Pakistani Economist Dr. Kaiser Bengali:

“IMF is a temporary lifeline, not a solution. Reforms need local ownership.”

  • World Bank Report (2022):

“IMF programs helped Pakistan stabilize but failed to create inclusive growth.”

  • UNDP Human Development Report (2021):

“Austerity policies hurt vulnerable populations in Pakistan and widen inequality.”

  1. Conclusion

The IMF has provided critical breathing space to Pakistan’s fragile economy, yet its programs come with painful trade-offs. The real failure lies not just in IMF design, but in Pakistan’s inconsistent implementation, political elite capture, and lack of economic vision. Repeated bailouts without real reform keep the country in a cycle of dependence.

Bold Conclusion:
IMF loans are not inherently a curse or a cure—they are a test. Whether they stabilize or destabilize depends on Pakistan’s ability to convert them from crutches into catalysts for long-term reform.

Q. No. 7: Discuss in detail how globalization has affected the concept of security.

Outline:

  1. Introduction
  2. Classical Concept of Security (Traditional View)
  3. Globalization: Definition and Dimensions
  4. Transformation of Security Concept due to Globalization
  5. Dimensions of Globalized Security
    • Economic Security
    • Cybersecurity
    • Human Security
    • Environmental Security
    • Health Security
  6. Positive and Negative Impacts of Globalization on Security
  7. Theoretical Perspectives on Globalized Security
  8. Real-World Examples
  9. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

Globalization has redefined the boundaries and dynamics of statecraft, including how security is conceptualized and practiced. Traditional security, which emphasized military threats and territorial defense, is now increasingly challenged by non-traditional and transnational threats. In the globalized era, threats are no longer confined by borders.

“Security today is as much about human survival as it is about state sovereignty.” — Barry Buzan

  1. Classical Concept of Security (Traditional View)
  • Security was once defined narrowly as protection of the state from external military aggression.
  • Emphasis on:
    • Sovereignty
    • National defense
    • Arms and military alliances (e.g., NATO)

Rooted in Realist theory, where power and territorial integrity were central to security.

  1. Globalization: Definition and Dimensions

Globalization refers to the increasing interconnectedness of the world in terms of economics, communication, technology, and culture.
Key features:

  • Rapid flow of information, capital, goods, people
  • Dismantling of national barriers
  • Rise of transnational actors (MNCs, NGOs, terrorist networks)

This global web creates shared vulnerabilities and opportunities, profoundly affecting the nature of security.

  1. Transformation of Security Concept due to Globalization

Traditional Security

Globalized Security

State-centric

Multi-actor (states, corporations, NGOs)

Military-focused

Multidimensional (economic, human, cyber)

National borders

Transnational threats

Sovereignty-oriented

Interdependence-sensitive

Deterrence strategies

Preventive and cooperative mechanisms

  1. Dimensions of Globalized Security
  2. Economic Security
  • Global financial markets create interlinked vulnerabilities.
  • 2008 global financial crisis affected even robust economies.
  • Debt crises, trade wars, and economic sanctions affect national security.
  1. Cybersecurity
  • Global digital networks are prone to cyberattacks, hacking, and surveillance.
  • Critical infrastructure (e.g., banks, military, energy grids) are now digital battlefields.
  • Examples: WannaCry, SolarWinds breach, Pegasus spyware.

III. Human Security

  • Introduced by UNDP (1994): Focuses on freedom from fear and want.
  • Threats include:
    • Poverty
    • Hunger
    • Gender-based violence
    • Displacement and migration
  1. Environmental Security
  • Climate change is a borderless threat impacting food, water, and livelihood.
  • Glacial melting, rising sea levels, and natural disasters pose existential risks.
  • Globalization contributes to overconsumption, pollution, and carbon capitalism.
  1. Health Security
  • COVID-19 pandemic showed how a local outbreak can become a global crisis.
  • Public health is now a core element of national and global security.
  1. Positive and Negative Impacts of Globalization on Security

Positive Impacts

Negative Impacts

Global cooperation in security (Interpol, UN)

Rise of non-state threats (terrorism, cybercrime)

Rapid information sharing for crisis management

Spread of misinformation and digital propaganda

Global economic interdependence reducing wars

Interdependence causes shared vulnerabilities

Joint responses to pandemics, disasters

Weak states are more exposed to global shocks

  1. Theoretical Perspectives on Globalized Security

Realism

  • Still emphasizes military strength, but recognizes asymmetric threats.
  • Sees globalization as a source of vulnerability.

Liberalism

  • Advocates cooperation and multilateralism to manage global threats.
  • Believes international institutions like UN, WHO enhance collective security.

Constructivism

  • Views security as socially constructed, evolving with global norms and identities.
  • E.g., migration seen as a threat in Europe due to cultural narratives.

Critical Theories (Copenhagen School)

  • Focus on securitization of non-traditional issues like environment and human rights.
  1. Real-World Examples

Threat/Area

Global Impact

Terrorism

9/11 attacks redefined global security policies; led to wars and global alliances

Climate Change

Floods in Pakistan (2022) displaced millions—global climate crisis ripple effect

Cyberattacks

U.S. elections targeted via foreign cyber interference

Health Pandemics

COVID-19 paralyzed global travel, economy, and healthcare systems

Refugee Crisis

Syrian war created global migration and security challenges

  1. Conclusion

Globalization has fundamentally altered the security landscape. From military to multidimensional security, states now face complex, borderless, and interconnected threats. While globalization offers tools for cooperation, it also introduces new risks and dependencies.

Bold Conclusion:
In a globalized world, no nation is secure alone. Security must be reimagined as a shared responsibility—bridging borders, embracing cooperation, and prioritizing human dignity.

Q. No. 8: Discuss in detail the new maritime security challenges for Indian Ocean Region (IOR).

Outline:

  1. Introduction
  2. Strategic Importance of the Indian Ocean Region
  3. Traditional vs. Non-Traditional Maritime Security Threats
  4. Emerging Maritime Security Challenges in IOR
    • Geopolitical Rivalries
    • Naval Militarization
    • Piracy and Maritime Crime
    • Maritime Terrorism
    • Sea Lines of Communication (SLOC) Vulnerability
    • Illegal Fishing & Environmental Degradation
    • Climate-Induced Disasters & Rising Sea Levels
  5. Role of Extra-Regional Powers in the IOR
  6. Regional Maritime Security Mechanisms and Responses
  7. Pakistan’s Perspective and Role in IOR Security
  8. Conclusion
  1. Introduction

The Indian Ocean Region (IOR), stretching from the East African coast to Southeast Asia and Australia, has become the epicenter of global maritime politics in the 21st century. While traditionally known for trade routes and resource wealth, it now faces diverse and evolving security threats, exacerbated by geopolitical rivalries, environmental challenges, and non-traditional actors.

“The Indian Ocean is becoming the world’s busiest and most contested maritime space.” — Robert D. Kaplan

  1. Strategic Importance of the Indian Ocean Region
  • Home to 2.7 billion people across over 38 nations
  • Carries 80% of global seaborne oil trade
  • Controls vital chokepoints: Strait of Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, and Strait of Malacca
  • Rich in marine biodiversity, fisheries, hydrocarbons, and rare minerals

Its geography makes it central to energy security, trade connectivity, and naval power projection.

  1. Traditional vs. Non-Traditional Maritime Security Threats

Traditional

Non-Traditional

Naval warfare, sea control

Piracy, terrorism, smuggling, trafficking

Military alliances

Illegal fishing, climate change, pollution

Strategic chokepoint control

Maritime cyber threats, human security

  1. Emerging Maritime Security Challenges in IOR
  2. Geopolitical Rivalries and Power Projection
  • Increasing US-China rivalry in the Indo-Pacific is spilling into the IOR.
  • China’s “String of Pearls” (Gwadar, Hambantota, Djibouti) threatens India’s maritime dominance.
  • India’s SAGAR policy and Indo-Pacific Quad alliance challenge China’s presence.
  • Risk of militarization of trade routes and conflict escalation.
  1. Naval Militarization and Arms Race
  • Countries are expanding blue-water navies (India, China, Australia).
  • US maintains a Fifth Fleet in Bahrain.
  • Regional states are increasing naval drills, submarine acquisitions, and military bases (e.g., China in Djibouti, US in Diego Garcia).

III. Piracy and Maritime Crime

  • Although Somali piracy has declined, piracy in the Gulf of Guinea and near Madagascar is rising again.
  • Human trafficking, arms smuggling, and drug routes exploit maritime blind spots.
  1. Maritime Terrorism
  • Groups like Al-Shabaab and regional IS affiliates pose threats to ports and ships.
  • Potential for use of civilian maritime vessels in asymmetrical warfare.
  • Targeting of oil tankers and port infrastructure disrupts supply chains.
  1. Sea Lines of Communication (SLOC) Vulnerability
  • SLOCs are vital for global trade and energy.
  • Closure or attack on chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz could paralyze world markets.
  • Increased mine warfare and drone surveillance around these routes.
  1. Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated (IUU) Fishing
  • Rampant in Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea.
  • Depletes marine life, affects coastal economies, and increases interstate tensions.
  • Chinese deep-sea trawlers and illegal fleets are under scrutiny.

VII. Environmental Degradation and Climate Disasters

  • Rising sea levels threaten coastal cities and naval bases.
  • Coral bleaching, ocean acidification, and plastic waste impact long-term maritime viability.
  • Cyclones and tsunamis (like 2004) disrupt maritime supply chains and port security.
  1. Role of Extra-Regional Powers in the IOR

Country

Strategic Presence

China

Bases in Gwadar (Pakistan), Hambantota (Sri Lanka), Djibouti

USA

Naval fleets in Bahrain, Diego Garcia, military pacts with India

France

Islands in Indian Ocean (Reunion), naval deployments

UK

Naval logistics and Indian Ocean bases

Russia

Increasing defense cooperation with IOR littorals (India, Iran)

This external involvement both enhances regional security capacity and fuels rivalries.

  1. Regional Maritime Security Mechanisms and Responses
  • Indian Ocean Rim Association (IORA) – Focuses on cooperative security and trade.
  • Indian Ocean Naval Symposium (IONS) – Promotes naval cooperation.
  • Pakistan Navy’s AMAN Exercises – Brings together over 45 countries biannually for peace and maritime collaboration.
  • Regional fusion centers (e.g., IFC-IOR) monitor maritime threats in real-time.

Despite progress, lack of trust and overlapping mandates hinder effectiveness.

  1. Pakistan’s Perspective and Role in IOR Security
  • Hosts Gwadar Port, central to China’s BRI and CPEC.
  • Faces challenges like Baloch insurgency, smuggling, and illegal fishing.
  • Participates in counter-piracy missions, multinational naval exercises, and regional maritime dialogues.
  • Advocates for inclusive and cooperative security framework.

“Pakistan supports the vision of a peaceful, secure and prosperous Indian Ocean.” — Pakistan Navy (AMAN-23)

  1. Conclusion

The Indian Ocean, once a relatively stable maritime arena, is now undergoing intense strategic transformation. With traditional threats now compounded by non-traditional, hybrid, and environmental challenges, the region requires multilateral cooperation, strategic foresight, and sustainable governance.

Bold Conclusion:
In the Indian Ocean, the future of global maritime peace hinges not on naval supremacy, but on shared security, ocean stewardship, and strategic restraint.

Visual Aid: Summary Table of Emerging Maritime Challenges

Challenge

Impact

Naval Rivalries

Risk of confrontation, militarization

Piracy & Crime

Economic disruption, regional instability

Maritime Terrorism

Threat to ports, ships, and energy routes

IUU Fishing

Resource depletion, tensions among littorals

Climate Change

Rising sea levels, extreme weather

Cyber Threats to Vessels

Targeted attacks on ports & communication systems

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